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Ten things almost everyone got wrong about Russia and its invasion of Ukraine

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A woman holds a sign as she attends an anti-war protest outside the Russian Embassy, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Bogota, Colombia March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

A woman holds a sign as she attends an anti-war protest outside the Russian Embassy, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Bogota, Colombia March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

A view shows destroyed military vehicles on a street, as Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues, in the town of Bucha in the Kyiv region, Ukraine March 1, 2022. Picture taken March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko

A view shows destroyed military vehicles on a street, as Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues, in the town of Bucha in the Kyiv region, Ukraine March 1, 2022. Picture taken March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko

A man holds candles during an anti-war protest outside the Russian Embassy, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Bogota, Colombia March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

A man holds candles during an anti-war protest outside the Russian Embassy, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Bogota, Colombia March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

Tunisian nationals who fled to Poland following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, are welcomed by their relatives upon arrival at the airport in Tunis, Tunisia, March 2, 2022. REUTERS/Zoubeir Souissi

Tunisian nationals who fled to Poland following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, are welcomed by their relatives upon arrival at the airport in Tunis, Tunisia, March 2, 2022. REUTERS/Zoubeir Souissi

A woman walks past a destroyed military vehicle, as Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues, in the town of Bucha in the Kyiv region, Ukraine March 1, 2022. Picture taken March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko

A woman walks past a destroyed military vehicle, as Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues, in the town of Bucha in the Kyiv region, Ukraine March 1, 2022. Picture taken March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Serhii Nuzhnenko

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A woman holds a sign as she attends an anti-war protest outside the Russian Embassy, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, in Bogota, Colombia March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez

After the horrific Russian invasion of Ukraine there are a lot of, mainly private, mea culpas in the west. Almost all of us got something wrong – catastrophically wrong in some cases.

Bluff

Those of us who thought that Putin might be bluffing were wrong. The CIA and other intelligence agencies, and governments that shared their judgement, were right.

Economic sanctions


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