Monday 19 March 2018

Early voting under way in French presidential elections

Workers prepare voting booths at a polling station in Lyon, France. The two-round presidential election will take place on April 23 and May 7. (AP Photo/Laurent Cipriani)
Workers prepare voting booths at a polling station in Lyon, France. The two-round presidential election will take place on April 23 and May 7. (AP Photo/Laurent Cipriani)

Early voting has begun overseas in France's most nail-biting election in generations.

The 11 candidates seeking to become the country's next president have silenced their campaigns as required to give voters a period of reflection.

Opinion polls show a tight race among the four top contenders vying to get into the May 7 presidential run-off which will decide who becomes France's next head of state.

But the polls also show that the decision is largely in the hands of the one in three French voters who are still undecided.

Polling has started in France's far-flung overseas territories but will not begin until Sunday on the mainland.

France's 10% unemployment, its lacklustre economy and security issues are the top concerns among voters.

Political campaigning was banned from midnight Friday until the polls close at 8pm on Sunday.

Opinion polls suggest that far-right nationalist Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron, an independent centrist and former economy minister, are in the lead.

However, conservative Francois Fillon, a former prime minister whose campaign was initially derailed by corruption allegations, appears to be closing the gap, as is far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon.

Security is tight, with the government mobilising more than 50,000 police and gendarmes to protect 70,000 polling stations, with an additional 7,000 soldiers on patrol.

Security is a prominent issue after a wave of extremist attacks on French soil, including a gunman who killed a Paris police officer on Thursday night before being shot dead by security forces. The gunman carried a note praising the Islamic State group.

Voters made their choices in the Atlantic Ocean territories of Saint Pierre and Miquelon as well as in French Guiana in South America, the Caribbean's Guadeloupe and elsewhere. Voters abroad could also cast ballots in French embassies on Saturday.

The campaigning of the last few weeks came to an abrupt halt after the Champs-Elysees gun attack by 39-year-old Karim Cheurfi.

Three suspects close to the attacker remain in custody, Paris prosecutors said.

Ms Le Pen and Mr Fillon cancelled their last campaign events on Friday over security concerns. Mr Macron did too, but also accused his rivals of trying to capitalise on the attack with their anti-immigration, tough-on-security messages.

In a sign of how tense the country is, a man holding a knife caused widespread panic on Saturday at Paris' Gare du Nord train station. He was arrested and no-one was hurt.

Well-wishers paid their respects on Saturday at the site of the shooting, which was adorned with flowers, candles and messages of solidarity for the slain police officer, Xavier Jugele.

Across from the Eiffel Tower, women from the group Angry Wives of Law Enforcement demonstrated against violence targeting police.

Some believe French stoicism would prevent a lurch to the right in the presidential vote, even though the attack dominated French headlines.

Marise Moron, a retired doctor, said: "These 48 hours are not going to change everything ... terrorism is now an everyday occurrence. It's permanent, 24 hours a day. So we're not afraid. If we're believers in freedom, we must live with it."

Paris resident Anne-Marie Redouin said near the heavily-guarded Eiffel Tower: "I'm not going to let myself be influenced by people who are trying to frighten us."

Others, fearful that Ms Le Pen has been strengthened by the instability, said they would shift their votes from fringe candidates to make sure they keep the far-right out of power.

Physics teacher Omar Ilys, 44, said: "With an attack such as this one, I think the National Front will get a good result. Therefore I'll change my intention and cast a useful vote - either Melenchon or Macron."

The French presidential choice will resonate far beyond France's borders, from Syrian battlefields to Hong Kong trading floors and the halls of the UN Security Council.

The election is also widely being viewed as a ballot on the future of the 28-nation European Union.

The far-right Ms Le Pen and the far-left Mr Melenchon could pull France out of the bloc and its shared euro currency - a so-called "Frexit".

A French exit could ignite a death spiral for the EU, the euro and the whole idea of European unity that was borne out of the bloodshed of the Second World War. France is a founding member of the EU and its main driver, along with former rival Germany.

Financial markets are already jittery over a possible Frexit, fearing capital flight, defaults or lawsuits on bonds and contracts.

Ms Le Pen's team is downplaying possible apocalyptic scenarios and arguing that the euro - which is now used by 19 nations - is heading for a break-up eventually anyway.

If Ms Le Pen or Mr Melenchon win a spot in the run-off, it will be seen as a victory for the populist wave reflected by the votes for Donald Trump and Brexit.

Many French workers who have lost out by globalisation are similarly fed up with establishment parties and attracted by promises of ditching the status quo.

Alternatively, if neither candidate makes it past Sunday's first round into the run-off, that is a clear message that populist nationalism is receding.

Mr Macron and Mr Fillon are committed to European unity and would reform labour rules. Mr Macron has framed himself as a bulwark against Mr Trump's protectionism.

Ms Le Pen and Mr Melenchon blame free trade pacts for killing French jobs and want to renegotiate them.


Press Association

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