| 13.3°C Dublin

Close

Premium

Nobel scientist predicts virus will 'burn out' in next two weeks

Computer modelling expert says Covid-19 was never truly exponential and will soon taper out, writes Niamh Horan

Close

Prof Michael Levitt says the numbers suggest the virus will burn out

Prof Michael Levitt says the numbers suggest the virus will burn out

Prof Michael Levitt says the numbers suggest the virus will burn out

A Nobel Prize- winning scientist has predicted, through analysing raw data, that Ireland's death rate and infection will "burn itself out" in the next two weeks, enabling an earlier exit from lockdown.

Professor Michael Levitt, of Stanford University, was speaking after he correctly calculated the demise of China's spread, long ahead of most health experts.

In early February, as many scientists warned of exponential growth, Levitt forecast the total number of confirmed Covid-19 cases in China would taper out at around 80,000, with 3,250 deaths. Three months on, China has a total of 82,885 cases and 4,633 deaths - in a population of 1.4bn.