Tuesday 24 October 2017

Upping the ante

Photo: Getty Images
Photo: Getty Images

independent.ie Sportsdesk

Suppose for a moment that Churchill had never run at Royal Ascot.

What price would he be to win what looks a pretty standard - or less than standard - Qatar Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood? Perhaps 13/8 or 7/4 (the price he was before Ascot).

For some reason or other - perhaps it was how warm the weather was in Ireland and England that day; perhaps it had nothing to do with that - Churchill did not run to his best in Berkshire. Clearly, we can say this, as he has always beaten Lancaster Bomber, his stablemate, yet on this occasion he was around four and a half lengths behind him.

Connections seem confident that Churchill will leave that run a long way behind him in the Sussex, when the dual Guineas winner - which interestingly had the brilliant Blue Point in his pocket as a two-year-old - will face Ribchester.

Ribchester's rating is pretty identical to Churchill's and he has never really given the impression he is a superstar. Moreover, seven of the last nine winners of the race, like Churchill, were aged three. It is feasible that Churchill's odds of 3/1 will shorten quite dramatically.

Bet: Churchill in Sussex, 3pts win 3/1

Irish Independent

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