Saturday 21 September 2019

Euro 2020 Group D Permutations: How the table looks and what Ireland must do to qualify

Ireland players celebrate with after David McGoldrick scored against Switzerland
Ireland players celebrate with after David McGoldrick scored against Switzerland

Harry Clarke

Ireland sit top of group D with just three games to play, but Mick McCarthy's men face a real battle to secure a top-two position and automatic qualification for next year's tournament.

The Boys In Green may be unbeaten with three wins and two draws from their five games so far, but two of those wins came against Gibraltar.

Denmark are three points behind Ireland with a game in hand and still have to play Gibraltar at home.

Switzerland are six points adrift with two games in hand and they face Gibraltar at home this Sunday.

The top two from the 10 groups will qualify automatically and the remaining four will come from a series of play-off matches..

First lets have a look at automatic qualification.

HOW THE GROUP STANDS:

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All matches between the top three sides have so far ended in draws. Here is what happens if one or more teams finish equal on points.

  • Higher number of points obtained in the matches played among the teams in question;
  • Superior goal difference in matches played among the teams in question;
  • Higher number of goals scored in the matches played among the teams in question;
  • Higher number of goals scored away from home in the matches played among the teams in question;
  • If, after having applied criteria 1 to 4, teams still have an equal ranking, criteria 1 to 4 are reapplied exclusively to the matches between the teams in question to determine their final rankings.[a] If this procedure does not lead to a decision, criteria 6 to 10 apply;
  • Superior goal difference in all group matches;
  • Higher number of goals scored in all group matches;
  • Higher number of away goals scored in all group matches;
  • Higher number of wins in all group matches;
  • Higher number of away wins in all group matches;
  • Fair play conduct in all group matches (1 point for a single yellow card, 3 points for a red card as a consequence of two yellow cards, 3 points for a direct red card, 4 points for a yellow card followed by a direct red card);
  • Position in the UEFA Nations League overall ranking.

 

The Play-Off route

If Ireland finish first or second in the current Euro 2020 qualifying group, they will play at Euro 2020. If they don't finish first or second, here's what happens.

With 20 of the 24 teams qualifying for the 2020 through the group stages, and no out-and-out host nation, the final four places will be decided with a series of play-off matches.

However places in these play-off matches are awarded on how you did, not at the Euro 2020 qualifying, but in last year's Nations League.

The Republic of Ireland finished 23rd in those rankings, with Northern Ireland one place behind us, so what both Irish teams may need is as many as possible of the obvious top teams, France, Germany, Spain, England etc, to qualify directly so that a play-off place will tumble down.

Looking at the current standings in the groups, even with some teams still having six matches to play, Groups B and E of the Euro qualifiers are of special interest to Ireland. There, countries like Portugal, Serbia, Croatia and Wales are struggling to qualify.

The likelihood is that Ireland will be involved in the play-offs and will face an away semi-final, which will just be the one leg, against a higher ranked team with the venue for the final decided by a draw involving the participating teams.

 

Read more here:

 

REMAINING FIXTURES

Sunday, September 8

Switzerland v Gibraltar, Georgia v Denmark

Saturday, October 12

Group D: Georgia v Republic of Ireland, Denmark v Switzerland

Thursday, October 15

Group D: Switzerland v Republic of Ireland, Gibraltar v Georgia

Friday, November 15

Group D: Switzerland v Georgia, Denmark v Gibraltar

Monday, November 18

Group D: Gibraltar v Switzerland, Republic of Ireland v Denmark

 

Stripping out Gibraltar and Georgia, here are the remaining games for the top three.

IRELAND (11 points)

Georgia (away)

Switzerland (Away)

Denmark (Home)

DENMARK (Eight points)

Georgia (Away)

Switzerland (Home)

Ireland (Away)

Gibraltar (Home)

SWITZERLAND (Five points)

Gibraltar (Home)

Denmark (Away)

Ireland (Home)

Georgia (Home)

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