Injuries mean that Joe Schmidt's options are limited
JOE SCHMIDT will meet the media this morning as a coach whose stock is soaring but who knows the market well enough to respect grim tidings.
Delivering a trophy every season since touching down in Ireland has given the Ireland supremo plenty of leeway as he ponders the pre-World Cup landscape, but he has never been one to rest on his laurels.
He wants to build on becoming Europe's top team in 2014 by adding a significant scalp from the southern hemisphere, particularly after a frustrating tour to Argentina that sucked much of the momentum from the end of the season.
He gave a host of front-liners the summer off with their well-being in mind but must wonder what the point was when he gets his squad back in this condition. The modern game is an unforgiving beast with little regard for best-laid plans.
Losing Andrew Trimble is the latest in a series of blows the Ireland coach has had to endure as he watches helplessly.
It seems almost inevitable that, by the time he assembles his squad on Tuesday he'll be forced to add more names to the list of 15 he couldn't call on already as a second week of European action takes its toll.
Given the team that came within seconds of beating the All Blacks formed the basis of his starting XV for the rest of the season, the biggest blows are undoubtedly Sean O'Brien and Cian Healy, but it is the lack of depth in certain positions that will worry Schmidt as much.
Tommy Bowe will come in for Trimble and Simon Zebo looks primed to take over from Dave Kearney, but Craig Gilroy is the only other winger in the squad, meaning another injury would require a re-shuffle in a panel of 37 that includes five players who can play full-back outside of that trio of wings.
That number may suggest concern over the condition of Rob Kearney's back after the Lion missed Leinster's meeting with Wasps. The presence of Felix Jones, Darragh Leader and Jared Payne indicates the need for cover.
Payne, of course, is ready to do battle for the vacant No 13 jersey with Robbie Henshaw, while Stuart Olding comes in despite losing his Ulster place to Stuart McCloskey recently and will vie for the inside-centre berth with Gordon D'Arcy.
Another area of concern will be the second-row, where Paul O'Connell and Devin Toner are still standing, but a host of others have fallen. Mike McCarthy makes it despite some suspect form for Leinster, while uncapped Munster tyro Dave Foley gets the nod ahead of Connacht's Mick Kearney.
Up front, Kiwi prop Nathan White is likely to make his debut at 33, while Stephen Archer is preferred to Declan Fitzpatrick, and Rodney Ah You's presence is something of a shock given how far out of his depth he looked in June.
In the back-row, Robbie Diack and Rhys Ruddock are rewarded for their end-of-season tour performances, while Dominic Ryan is the surprise inclusion after a strong start to the season.
Whether they can unsettle the Six Nations winning back-row of Peter O'Mahony, Chris Henry and Jamie Heaslip remains to be seen.
The biggest surprise behind the scrum sees Paddy Jackson dropped from second to fourth choice fly-half as Ian Keatley makes it.
The Ulster No 10 made the cut for the Argentina tour ahead of both of his rivals, but cried off with a back injury. Madigan impressed in his place, while Keatley did well on the Emerging tour of Romania and has started the season well.
Still, the key man remains Johnny Sexton who returned for action in fine fettle for Racing Metro last weekend. Of all 37, he's the one Schmidt can least afford to lose as he looks to build despite narrowing options.
Ireland squad for November internationals - Forwards: S Archer (Munster), R Ah You (Connacht), R Best (Ulster), J Cronin (Munster), S Cronin (Leinster), R Diack (Ulster), D Foley (Munster), C Henry (Ulster), J Heaslip (Leinster), D Kilcoyne (Munster), M McCarthy (Leinster), J McGrath (Leinster), P O'Connell (capt, Munster), T O'Donnell (Munster), P O'Mahony (Munster), M Ross (Leinster), R Ruddock (Leinster), Dominic Ryan (Leinster), R Strauss (Leinster), D Toner (Leinster), N White (Connacht). Backs: T Bowe (Ulster), G D'Arcy (Leinster), C Gilroy (Ulster), R Henshaw (Connacht), F Jones (Munster), R Kearney (Leinster), I Keatley (Munster), D Leader (Connacht), I Madigan (Leinster), K Marmion (Connacht), C Murray (Munster), S Olding (Ulster), J Payne (Ulster), E Reddan (Leinster), J Sexton (Leinster), S Zebo (Munster).