Thursday 23 November 2017

Sounds promising for Byrnes

SOUNDS Of JupiteR is probably worth taking a chance on at around his industry odds of 5/1 in Thurles' WT O'Grady Memorial Hurdle today.

It is intriguing that his trainer Charles Byrnes, rather than saddle the gelding in a conventional four-year-old maiden, is content instead to take on previous winners. As a consequence of that, Sounds Of Jupiter escapes a seven-pound punishment with which Action Master, Are You The One and Our Nana Rose are burdened.

The market, as with runners from the stable generally, ought to guide punters as to how Sounds Of Jupiter will run, but he should be thereabouts if improving from his jumping debut over Christmas. The son of Galileo was very weak in the market then at his local track -- having opened up 9/2, the horse was sent off at bigger than 12/1 on Betfair. One can conclude that he was expected to benefit appreciably from the outing, but there was plenty to take from that performance.

Sounds Of Jupiter travelled very well up until between the last two flights. He touched almost 1/2 in running, only to seemingly get a little fatigued in the last couple of furlongs. Are You The One reeled him in after the final flight, but he had the benefit of hurdling experience; the runner-up, in contrast, was debuting for his new stable and had not run in nearly three months. The form of the race seems quite strong.

Sounds Of Jupiter must have big prospects of reversing that form at today's weights and the booking of Paul Townend, who rode a recent winner for Byrnes, is noteworthy. Byrnes is an exceptionally talented trainer and he is virtually certain to coax improvement out of his recent recruit.

There are no concerns about the horse's stamina, as he won on the Flat for David Simcock in August over a mile and a half.

That success promoted him to a Flat rating of 79, which marks him out as a potentially useful juvenile hurdler. However, he had only performed on good or quicker ground in Britain, so it was reassuring that conditions were heavy at Limerick but the gelding did not seem inconvenienced.

Such similar terrain today will demand much from the penalised horses. It might be that Solar Graphite will thus emerge as the chief threat to the selection, having shaped with promise on his hurdling debut for in-form trainer Robbie Hennessy.

RECOMMENDATION

Sounds of Jupiter to win at Limerick, 1pt win at best morning odds

There are prices available about today's GAA games but, looking towards the championship, Boylesports have a market about the path to All-Ireland SFC glory this year's victors will enjoy. Given that the majority of winners since 2001 have come through the qualifiers, it's worth taking 6/4 on the trend to continue.

This is an insufficiently long time to draw firm conclusions, yet four of the last five All-Irelands went to teams who had already lost in the championship and there is certainly a strong suspicion that provincial crowns have lost their historical sheen.

RECOMMENDATION

SFC winner to come through qualifiers, 2pts at 6/4 (Boylesports)

Real Madrid were not especially convincing in qualifying for the Champions League's last 16. They take on Lyon next month and the contest may be closer than Betfair's odds suggest.

You can lay the Spaniards to reach the quarter-finals at 1/3, though one of the shrewdest bookmakers around offers 4/11 and others are happy to lay 1/3 too.

RECOMMENDATION

Lay Real Madrid to qualify v Lyon, 3pts at 1.33 (1pt liability, Betfair)

YEAR TO DATE

Profit to €10 stake: €-9

Still Running: €285

jwardvb@gmail.com

Sunday Independent

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