Tuesday 24 October 2017

Wayne Bailey: Queen's filly Light Music to reign supreme at Lingfield

Jockey Oisin Murphy. Photo by Julian Herbert/Getty Images
Jockey Oisin Murphy. Photo by Julian Herbert/Getty Images

Wayne Bailey

All good Christians will be familiar with the seven deadly sins, and I must have succumbed to a few of them last weekend. Well, gluttony and greed at the very least.

I'd backed this column's each-way selection Russian Realm at various prices up to 18/1 in the morning and as soon as jockey Shane Kelly took the lead in the final furlong, I felt that surge of excitement you can only get when you know a horse is about to win.

The SP was 14/1 so all told, I had a very good deal on my hands. But quitting when you are ahead is so much easier said than done in this game - especially when my next two bets, Jack Hobbs and Air Force Blue, looked absolutely bullet proof.

We all know that you should never drink and drive but they should also have ads on the box about drinking and betting.


Whether it was the warm glow from the win, or the warm glow from the whiskey, I'm not quite sure, but I ended up breaking a cardinal rule of mine and playing up my winnings alongside my original hefty bets on the two.

Half went on Jack Hobbs, half went on Air Force Blue but I could only watch in horror as the former got pulled up at 8/15 and the latter finished second-last at 4/5. I've no problem backing odds-on horses but they sure do make you look foolish when they lose.

A win for Minding on Sunday in the 1,000 Guineas was some consolation, although I broke another golden rule and chickened out a little with my stake, having suffered those two heavy losses.

I'd like to see her go for the Derby, especially considering US Army Ranger's win on Thursday didn't set the world alight - though for obvious breeding and financial reasons, owners would much prefer to have a colt win the Classic than a filly.

All told, a small profit was made on the weekend, yet minor success was hardly satisfactory considering I'd managed to find such a big-priced winner.

But the racing world keeps moving and we are off to Lingfield today where I reckon I've got more than a fighting chance of getting some of my money back off the old enemy in the Group Three Betfred Chartwell Fillies' Stakes (2.50).

One of two runners owned by The Queen, Light Music (William Haggas) will probably go off as favourite around 3/1 but she ticks plenty of boxes and deserves her place at the top of the market.

Her two wins and a place out of three career runs all came at today's 7f distance, and she's proven herself on varied conditions on turf, so I'm hoping she's no problem with the Polytrack.

Her latest win was in a Listed race at Newbury in October where she showed plenty of speed despite the softer ground, and based on what we've seen it's reasonable to assume she'll continue to improve as a three-year-old.

Under Oisin Murphy she can leave Rah Rah and Ashadihan fighting it out for minor honours.


Global Village (2012) was the first seven-year-old to win the Victoria Cup (4.15 Ascot) since Star Signal in 1952, a fact which may be of some concern to backers of the two older horses in today's field, Dinkum Diamond and Fort Bastion.

With 29 runners going to post, it's not a race for heavy punting; likely favourite Predominance looks a little short around 6/1.

With double carpet (33/1) on offer yesterday evening, not too many people fancy Related but I'm happy to take a chance each-way on Paul Midgley's gelding, which has been dropped a couple of pounds in the ratings to 95.

He's only been with this yard a short time and a disappointing showing at Pontefract is overlooked as Martin Lane's ride was perhaps a little too forward in the heavy conditions.

Tom Queally takes the reins today and the handicapper has left him in with a chance.

Today's selections

2.45 Haydock: So Beloved

2.50 Lingfield: Light Music

3.25 Lingfield: Mountain Bell

3.50 Nottingham: Ridge Ranger

4.0 Lingfield: Humphrey Bogart

4.15 Ascot: Related (e/w)

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