Sport Horse Racing

Monday 23 October 2017

Waila has class to secure the spoils for Stoute

Declaration Of War, seen here winning The Heritage Stakes at Leopardstown, looks like a value option for Sussex Stakes
Declaration Of War, seen here winning The Heritage Stakes at Leopardstown, looks like a value option for Sussex Stakes
Richard Forristal

Richard Forristal

FRESH from Telescope's facile turn at Leicester, Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore can collect with another useful three-year-old in the shape of Waila at Newmarket today.

The chestnut filly tackles the Listed Newsells Park Stud Stakes over a mile-and-a-half, with Godolphin's La Arenosa possibly the chief threat in an eight-runner affair.

Narrowly denied in a Group Three on its last start for Andre Fabre in France in the autumn on the back of a Listed win, the four-year-old La Arenosa made a ready debut for Saeed Bin Suroor to secure a second win at this level at Warwick in June.

AUTHORITATIVE

Visually, that was an authoritative performance that promised plenty more. However, the form of the race hasn't worked out at all in the meantime, and La Arenosa must concede weight all round against some able fillies here.

Waila receives all of 15lbs, so this represents a decent opportunity for her to get back on track after things went against her in the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot.

On her first try at this trip that day, she raced too keenly under Kieren Fallon early on, before then running into the back of horses when trying to make up ground in the straight.

By the time Waila got a clear run, Riposte had flown, but she kept on with a degree of purpose to be fifth.

Given the way things transpired for her, it was a solid effort, and it's worth noting that she previously had the class to beat today's Irish Oaks-bound Riposte at Sandown on her seasonal bow there.

On just her fourth start, then, she has the scope to keep progressing, with the application of a hood for a first time here possibly significant. If the headgear helps Moore's mount to settle better than she did at Ascot, she should take plenty of beating.

The other Flat horse of interest in England today is Krypton Factor in the Hackwood Stakes at Newbury. An eight-time winner, the Bahrain-based sprinter accounted for some fair sorts when landing a Group One at Meydan in March, and he has continued to compete consistently well at a high level since then.

Beaten a couple of lengths by Black Caviar at Ascot in 2012, he had a second pop at the Diamond Jubilee last month, running an honest race to be third to Lethal Force, form that the winner and runner-up Society Rock franked in the July Cup last week.

The first two are top-drawer sprinters, so there was no shame in finishing third, and it confirmed Krypton Factor's reputation as a reliable campaigner in that sort of company.

This afternoon, none of his five Group Three rivals have such robust credentials, so Krypton Factor is seriously overpriced at up to 5/2 to oblige.

Hamza and Heeraat are doing most to inflate his odds. Both are progressive sorts from decent stables, but Hamza, which beat Heeraat at Beverley in May, was all of nine lengths behind Lethal Force after not getting his own way in front in the July Cup.

In two starts since Beverley, Heeraat finished sixth to Sole Power at Ascot before getting chinned by Jwala at York last week, confirming the impression that a fast five furlongs suits best. He shouldn't get close to Krypton Factor over six here.

In the Betfred Summer Hurdle at Market Rasen, David Pipe's Street Entertainer appeals as a solid option at double-figure odds under Conor O'Farrell. Without a win over jumps since scoring for a second time on the spin at the Punchestown Festival in 2011, he has fallen nine pounds in the ratings, and looked as though he would run a big race before blundering two-out in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock in May.

A winner on the Flat since then, he could make amends now on the sort of fast ground that he relishes.

In the Summer Plate, Viva Colonia gets the nod under Noel Fehily. A decent novice last term, Brian Ellison's charge is still unexposed over fences.

Best Bet: Krypton Factor

 

Watching Brief

FOR all that Goodwood's Sussex Stakes is being billed as a duel between Dawn Approach and Toronado, the jury is still out on the Classic generation.

Consequently, Declaration Of War appeals as a value option at up to 11/2 for the Group One.

When Aidan O'Brien's colt burst clear in the Queen Anne at Ascot, he beat the subsequent facile Group Two winner Aljamaaheer into second, with Elusive Kate, a Group One victor in the interim, back in fourth. That is rock-solid form, and there was no shame in losing out to the insatiable Al Kazeem over 10 furlongs in the Eclipse afterwards.

Crucially, Declaration Of War had Mars two lengths behind there when conceding 11lbs, which compares favourably with his Ballydoyle stablemate's two-and-three-quarter-length finish behind Dawn Approach and Toronado off levels at Ascot.

Back over his optimum mile trip, then, Declaration Of War could be the one.

Irish Independent

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