Tuesday 17 July 2018

Libranno can absolve past misfortunes

WHILE last week's 'Betting Ring' column showed a couple of points profit to level stakes, my own finances suffered considerably when I placed too much faith in Rewilding to win the Doncaster St Leger.

The even-money favourite only managed sixth place and Frankie Dettori was already asking questions turning in, costing me a small fortune.

I did get some relief when Sans Frontieres won the Irish St Leger at 13/8 half an hour later, but unluckily for me, my stakes were not half as big on that Classic as they were on the previous one, which left me plenty out of pocket. It's just my luck to get one St Leger wrong at evens and the other one right at 13/8 and still lose money!

One could sit around sulking about the unfairness of these things but as Johnny Carson once said: "If life was fair, Elvis would be alive today and all the impersonators would be dead," so the only thing to do is dust myself down and go back to battle with the layers today and try to get some of my dosh back.

The feature this afternoon is the Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (2.30 Newbury), where I'm hoping Libranno can keep up the fantastic trainer/jockey record that Hannon and Hughes enjoy when pairing up with two-year-old horses.


Since 2003, the two Richards have had 281 winners from 1234 bets (23pc) and had you stuck a tenner on each, you'd be up a whopping €1,059.

This has remained profitable in 2010, although Libranno will have to bounce back from a poor performance in the Prix Morny at Deauville last time if he's to keep the likes of Crown Prosecutor at bay. I can't really offer an explanation for his sixth place in France only to say that he never really looked settled.

I'm not sure if the Pope will be watching Newbury while he's over in England, but I'm going to take heed of his Christian message of forgiveness by overlooking Libranno's latest race and backing him today. If the colt is back on his game on home soil, he'll surely take all the beating, priced around 5/2.

Fifteen minutes later in Scotland, Rimth looks an absolute steal at 9/4 for the Group Three Laundry Cottage Stud Firth Of Clyde Fillies Stakes (2.45 Ayr). She showed a lovely turn of foot when taking her debut race at Windsor back in May, and has since gone on to improve her form in Group and Listed company at York and Salisbury respectively. Ragsah and Mortitia are the ones most likely to chase her home.


As usual, there's a very big field declared for the Ayr William Hill Gold Cup (3.20) so I'm hoping to get a decent price of 16/1 or higher on Redford, from David Nicholls' yard.

The four-year-old has been frustrating to follow -- finishing last of 16 in a handicap at Hamilton back in July -- but he showed a bit more sparkle when third at Ayr last time out. This yard know the sort it takes to win the Ayr Gold cup, landing the prize five times since 2000 -- and while they hold a number of entries, it's not insignificant that they've decided to put Dettori up on this particular one.


2.30 Newbury: Libranno

2.35 Catterick: Bear Tobouggie

2.45 Ayr: Rimth

3.20 Ayr: Redford (e/w)

4.15 Newbury: Tazeez

Irish Independent

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