Last year’s Gold Cup was more a ballet than a brawl, and it played right into A Plus Tard’s speedy hands. There is a time in every champion’s life when they have it all. That was A Plus Tard last year. It doesn’t look the same this year, and I expect a few horses to try and take a hammer and a blowtorch to this race.
oble Yeats, Royal Pagaille, Stattler, Ahoy Senor and Minella Indo all need a gallop to have a chance. Last year, everyone with a stayer sat around and looked at each other and let it turn into a sprint.
Going a strong gallop without going too fast is the same as knowing ‘me’ and ‘I’ mean the same thing but aren’t used in the same place.
Stattler is not a natural frontrunner, so I will be at the mercy of someone else keeping me company at the front end to maintain a strong gallop all the way and pull the sting out of horses with a turn of foot.
Whiff
He has a similar profile to Native River and is the type which can run well in a Gold Cup, as is Noble Yeats, but this should boil down to Galopin Des Champs and A Plus Tard, the two that have that whiff of class off them.
A Plus Tard comes here off poor prep and only one nine-year-old, Don Cossack, has won the Gold Cup in the last decade, so this must be a glorious opportunity for Galopin Des Champs.
His final-fence fall here has turned out to be a blessing in disguise as realising that he can fall has made a professional racehorse out of him. Before that, he was too enthusiastic, too brave and too naïve to be a Gold Cup contender.
Since then, he has settled perfectly and his jumping is more measured and precise. He has twice won Grade Ones over three miles, and with him settling better and jumping more economically, I think he can ascend to the summit of the sport.
The Triumph Hurdle is an intriguing puzzle. Gala Marceau took advantage of Lossiemouth running into traffic problems last time and is a mare on the improve.
My concern with her is that she is very keen going and the New Course at Cheltenham is not a track that treats that kind of running style kindly, with its longer straights and bigger gaps between hurdles.
Blood Destiny was visually very impressive last time, but I think, perhaps, he was the only horse in the race that wasn’t looking for a handicap mark for the Fred Winter.
He could well be better than both our fillies, but he has to give them the seven-pound mare’s allowance, which means he needs to be eight pounds better than them to beat them.
Lossiemouth is the one to beat for me.
Allegorie De Vassy has the biggest engine in the Mares Chase, but her inexperience is a worry against a mare as pinpoint as Impervious. And don’t forget Elimay just yet.
Billaway bids to defend his crown from last year, and we’ve added first-time blinkers to help keep him concentrated. He will go close, as he always does, but I fear the younger legs of Vaucelet.
Spanish Harlem looks to be in the Goldilocks Zone of not too much, not too little of a handicap mark for the Martin Pipe and I can’t wait to ride Sharjah in the County Hurdle, a race as busy as trying to cross a school playground at lunchtime. I think the race will suit and he is on a lower mark than Arctic Fire when he won it.
Patrick’s Picks
1.30 Lossiemouth
3.30 Galopin Des Champs
5.30 Spanish Harlem