Friday 22 November 2019

Is your county getting promoted or relegated? National Football League permutations explained

One of these men will most likely see their team relegated this weekend
One of these men will most likely see their team relegated this weekend Newsdesk Newsdesk

The last round of games in the Allianz National Football League take place this weekend and never before have they meant to much to so many counties.

Promotion and relegation in Divisions III and VI looks uncomplicated but the state of affairs in Division I and II will have inter-county managers squirming in their shoes on Sunday afternoon.

Here's how things can transpire in each division:

Division One

How things stand:

Division 1.png

Only two things can be said for certain, Cork are on their way to the semi-finals and Derry are on their way to Division II.

The fate of the other six teams is still up in the air.

GAA Newsletter

Expert GAA analysis straight to your inbox.

Monaghan's victory in the Kingdom sees them occupy second place in the top flight but there is a slim chance they won't make the semi-finals.

Dublin will leapfrog them if they win at Clones, as will the winners of Mayo v Donegal.

If Kerry win in Omagh, they would still need to turn around a 15-point deficit in the scoring difference with Monaghan to take fourth place.

A draw would be good enough for Jim Gavin's side to advance. Their vastly superior points difference would mean that Kerry would need to beat Tyrone by a cricket score.

A Dublin defeat would mean they would be passed by the winners of Mayo v Donegal and Kerry, if they win in Omagh.

If Kerry lose by two or more points to Mickey Harte's men, they will be playing Division II football in 2016.

Kerry and Mayo are still in mathematical danger of going down but the chances that happening are very remote.

With Derry gone, the other relegation place will be decided in Healy Park.

Fixtures (all games to be played at 3pm):

Derry v Cork; Mayo v Donegal; Monaghan v Dublin; Tyrone v Kerry.

Division Two

As things stand:

Division 2.png

No team in the second tier is certain of what situation they will be in by 4pm on Sunday afternoon.

Not one team is guaranteed a place in the bottom two or the top two going into the final round of fixtures.

Down top the Division on eight points but Roscommon, Meath or Cavan or both (though unlikely) and Galway.

If Down beat Laois in Newry, the second promotion place will almost certainly be decided by points difference.

Meath have a +14 points difference and home advantage against Cavan but if Roscommon beat Westmeath, they will be promoted because they beat Meath at Dr Hyde Park earlier in the league and the Royals will then be hoping for Laois to beat Down.

If two teams finish level on points, it's decided by the head-to-head result. If three teams are level on points, it reverts to points difference.

In the relegation battle, Westmeath and Kildare must win to have any chance of avoiding the drop.

Westmeath's -22 scoring difference means they will most likely need to beat Roscommon and hope Kildare and Laois are beaten.

Kildare need to beat Galway by at least four points and hope either Laois or Westmeath lose. They could get away with a draw but only if Laois lose by at least seven in Newry.

A draw will be enough for Laois to be safe, while a draw or a defeat to Kildare by three or less will keep Galway in the Division.

It is going to be quite a scramble for survival.

Fixtures (all games to be played at 3pm):

Down v Laois; Galway v Kildare; Meath v Cavan; Westmeath v Roscommon.

Division Three

As things stand

Division 3.png

Fermanagh and Armagh have gained promotion to Division II with a round to spare.

A - 40 points difference means that Wexford are all but relegated and they will be joined by whoever loses between Louth and Limerick in Drogheda.

If there is a draw in that game, Sligo and Clare will be dragged in. Clare's head-to-head advantage over Sligo could be crucial.

Fixtures (all games to be played at 3pm):

Clare v Fermanagh; Louth v Limerick; Sligo v Armagh; Tipperary v Wexford.

Division 4

As things stand:

Division 4.png

Longford have already been promoted. The winners of Offaly and Antrim in Tullamore will join them, if that game is a draw, then Offaly advance by virtue of their points difference.

Fixtures (all games to be played at 3pm):

Leitrim v Waterford; Offaly v Antrim; Wicklow v London; Carlow v Longford.

Online Editors

The Throw-In: 'Jim Gavin has achieved what Mick O'Dwyer and Brian Cody couldn't do'

In association with Bord Gáis Energy

Editor's Choice

Also in Sport