Allianz National Football League permutations - It's two from five with Kerry and Dublin favourites to make final
With two games to go in Division 1 of the Allianz National League, here’s a look at the possible permutations for each team as the league season reaches its climax.
With a 100% record from their opening 5 games, Kerry are odds on to contest the March 31st final. A point from either of their last two games against Mayo (H) and Roscommon (A) guarantees their spot, as would any two of Mayo, Dublin and Galway dropping points. However, should the Kingdom lose both games they could still miss out on points difference.
Given their superior points difference, wins in both their remaining games against Tyrone and Cavan should see the Dubs reach another league final on Jim Gavin’s watch. Defeat or a draw in either game will mean the current holders will be relying on results elsewhere.
It’s Mayo’s game against Kerry that has the potential to throw the cat amongst the pigeons. Should Mayo win and follow that up with a win over Monaghan, they’d find themselves on ten points. Although the first tie-breaker for teams level on points should be the head to head result, the possibility of Dublin, Galway, Mayo and possibly even Kerry ending up level on points means that points difference would be used to split the teams. Two big wins would be needed to bridge that current gap.
Galway are the fourth outfit with the potential to reach ten points by beating Roscommon and Tyrone. But with a negative points difference of -7, it’d be a huge ask for the Tribesmen to make the difference up. However, a loss for Dublin in either game could open the door.
Mickey Harte’s men are already relying on other results to go their way to have any chance of a top two finish. Wins over Dublin and Galway would bring them to nine points while also meaning that both of their rivals would max out on eight. In that case, a loss for Mayo in either game could see Tyrone sneak in.
With only three points so far, Roscommon’s focus is on avoiding the drop. Despite the potential to reach seven points with two wins, the other fixtures mean that at least one of Dublin, Tyrone or Galway will finish above them. One win to take them to five points should see them safe.
The Brefni county have endured a torrid campaign to date with a big win over Roscommon their only points on the board. A relegation four-pointer against Monaghan next week is a must win ahead of a visit from the All-Ireland champions to finish.
It’s been a very disappointing campaign for Monaghan so far and one they surely didn't see coming. A win against Cavan could set them up for a get out of jail clash with a Mayo side who may have nothing to play for after their visit to Kerry. But a Mayo win over Kerry has the potential to make things very difficult for the Farney boys.
Dublin v Tyrone
Galway v Roscommon
Kerry v Mayo
Monaghan v Cavan
Cavan v Dublin
Mayo v Monaghan
Roscommon v Kerry
Tyrone v Galway