Former Donegal star Eamon McGee believes Dublin have dropped back to the chasing pack, but is close to certain they will land their fifth All-Ireland title in row this year.
McGee's assertion is based on Dublin's league showings in spring, but he still thinks Jim Gavin's men have more than enough quality to retain Sam Maguire.
"If you were doing up percentages, it is probably at 80 or 85pc (that they'll win five-in-a-row)," McGee said at the launch of the Bord Gáis Energy Legends Tour.
"Last year, or the year before, it would have been 90 or 95pc. They have dropped off, based on league results and based on performances. You can only go on what you see so far and there has been a drop-off, but even going on the drop-off, they are still a wee bit ahead of what is there at the minute.
"We have seen Mayo and people talking about Mayo as the team to beat them, and I don't know where Mayo are at now. If they get the right draw, they will still do a lot of damage, and Dublin will not want to see them, but probably it is between Tyrone and Galway, at the minute."
After their facile win over Louth last weekend, manager Gavin once again left the door open for Diarmuid Connolly to return. However, McGee believes that could have negative consequences for his side.
"Gavin, from looking at him and reading what he says, he talks a lot about his values and good people.
"For him to bring Diarmuid Connolly in at this stage, people within the squad might think that he doesn't trust them. I would love to see Diarmuid Connolly, just as a footballer. He is brilliant to watch, but I don't see him coming back.
"But if he did come back, you would put that right up there at 95pc again that Dublin would win the All-Ireland.
"The only glimmer of hope is history and history is against them. This five-in-a-row hasn't been done for a reason, that's the only positive thing, but they are just so far out in front."