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Short odds hit Frankel

Usually we keep our betting pieces in this paper to the Betting Book on a Friday or on the eve of big races.

Tonight, though, I had to look ahead to the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket in just under a fortnight's time.

On Saturday we saw Frankel blow out the cobwebs and publically show his wellbeing with his final serious prep ahead of the opening Classic of 2011, for which he is the odds-on favourite.

In winning the Greenham Stakes, Frankel beat a substandard, non-Guineas contender called Excelebration, who was beat on his debut around Nottingham, and also in the race was the Richard Hannon-trained Strong Suit who ran too poorly to be a true reflection of his form.

Now, don't get me wrong, Frankel was impressive, and was clearly blowing hard after the race to suggest there was a lot more to come from Henry Cecil's colt and he will clearly improve for his big day at Newmarket.

However, Frankel is as short as 4/9 in a place to win at Newmarket, while nestled away in a quiet part of Co Kildare called Moone is a horse backable at 7/1, that if not a forgotten horse, is by far a better betting prospect.

Right, Frankel may well win the 2000 Guineas, but hello, there's a recession on! Who wants to be backing him at those short of odds in a competitive Group One where there will be no love lost and no quarter given and certainly stranger things than Frankel getting beat have happened on a racecourse.

We got a great kick out of Sea The Stars and his European domination a couple of seasons back and maybe Frankel is set for a similar voyage.

But if you like a bet, Pathfork is the way to go.

He's 7/1 -- a price he would be only half of if he was trained by a more traditional Group One-winning trainer such as Aidan O'Brien or Jim Bolger rather than the often -- too often -- underestimated Jessica Harrington.



Contender

Pathfork is also a Group One winner, and at the Harrington open morning the other day looked a million dollars so will certainly fly the Irish flag high when he heads to Newmarket.

Whether or not it will be high enough to lower the colours of Frankel, we will just have to wait and see

But if it's a bet your after, and more importantly a better chance of profit, Pathfork is the way forward.

Indeed, Harrington will be making a double raid on Newmarket that weekend and her 1000 Guineas contender, Laughing Lashes, can't be dismissed either at similar odds.

Harrington said over the weekend; "She's a very big filly and even makes Pathfork look small so it was surprising she did so well last year. She seems in great form and is working very well. I think she will continue to progress as the year goes on."

Harrington enjoyed further Grade One success over jumps this season with Bostons Angel winning at the Cheltenham Festival, but over the last season and a bit she's really been making her mark on the Flat code and that was further proved this weekend.

On Friday night Giving Orders opened her account at Dundalk while yesterday Siren's Song claimed the listed Salsabil Stakes also under Fran Berry which proves the team are in real good form ahead of the big Newmarket weekend.


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