Monday 11 December 2017

The Punter's Platform: Arsenal v Liverpool for fourth, betting on teams with nothing to play for and home form

Conor Neville

As far as sporting drama goes, the final day of the Premier League season offers us some very thin gruel. 

We can usually count on at least one relegation place being in-play come the final day of the season but alas this year, Hull City are formally condemned to 18th spot with Middlesbrough and Sunderland destined to finish below them.

The narrative spinners are hinging everything on the battle for fourth place between Liverpool and Arsenal. Any real drama here is dependent on the doubtful possibility of the already relegated Middlesbrough raising a gallop away to Liverpool.

The prospect of Arsenal missing out on Champions League football for the first time in 8 million years might be of interest to the odd anorak, but for many Arsenal supporters, you'd imagine the chance to avoid another inevitable second round humiliation would come as a blessed relief at this stage.

Not even Sky Sports' most excitable hype mongers could flog this one.

The expert tipsters on The Punter's Platform are steering clear of the top sides and instead focusing on a few of the more bankable, 'meaningless' encounters.

John Brennan of the Sunday World - on a roll in the football tipping, having backed Atletico to take rivals Real Madrid in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final - has spied a nice treble of home victories available at a tasty price.

"I have a hat-trick of wins of Sunday at 15/2," said Brennan.

"Three home teams, Leicester, Swansea and Burnley. They're three teams who play well at home. The opposition (in each case) have nothing to play for. I just think 15/2 is a great bet for those three teams. I've steered away from the Liverpool's, Manchester United's, because they're a whole of 1/4 bets and you can't trust Manchester United with the team they'll put out."

Leicester host Bournemouth, Swansea City are at home to West Brom, while Burnley welcome West Ham to Turf Moor. None of the away teams have the incentive to bust a gut here. None of the home teams do either beyond giving their home support a good day out.

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