Thursday 22 February 2018

Paul Moran: We're playing a game of brinkmanship with Europe

The Yes/No divide on the referendum has remained largely consistent since February and now stands at 60/40, writes Paul Moran

THIS referendum campaign has been quite a curious affair. With such a financially and, for some, emotionally decisive issue at stake, opinion has remained strangely muted.

Our polls from the outset in late February have shown little shifts in public opinion. Indeed, the most interesting statistic has been the undecideds, and what impact they will have, if any, next Thursday.

The headline figure is that the Yes/No divide has remained largely consistent, and still stands at 60 per cent versus 40 per cent with less than a week to go before voting. The numbers of those undecided have decreased in the past week -- one in four (26 per cent) is still unsure, compared to 35 per cent previously. The shift in those who have made up their minds more recently has had no meaningful impact on voting intentions.

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