Monday 20 November 2017

All bets are off: Fine Gael's momentum in the polls has stopped dead in its tracks

'It’s also possible the polls will be proved wrong'
'It’s also possible the polls will be proved wrong'
Shane Coleman

Shane Coleman

Reading the detail of the latest opinion poll, it's hard to escape the nagging feeling that this is it. What you see here is pretty much what we're going to get come election day.

Many of us had been of the view for some time that, when push came to shove, the Coalition's stability message would convince a decidedly reluctant, but ultimately conservative, electorate to return the government, perhaps with the need for a few Independents. Better the devil you know than the devil you don't, or indeed the devil you got burned by before.

But, as of now, there is no sign of that happening. Fine Gael's pre-Christmas momentum has stopped in its tracks. The Independents are holding firm. Labour is hovering at or below 10pc. Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin are neck and neck. Any shifts in recent polls has been well within the margin of error.

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