Leo and Micheál slugging it out to be next Taoiseach is only show in town
The underlying realities of Irish politics are shifting. 'New politics' is being replaced by a new narrative. The supply and confidence arrangements between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael were always destined to be a "temporary little arrangement".
While the deal formally finishes this October with its third budget, it's psychologically over in May with determination on the Eighth Amendment referendum.
The showdown to be Taoiseach, Micheál Martin versus Leo Varadkar, is well under way. Every issue should be seen and analysed through this prism. This is the crucial context for Martin's Dáil volte face, to shift from the previous pro-life perspective to outright support for an open abortion regime up to 12 weeks of pregnancy.