Saturday 16 December 2017

Tweet nothings and typos from Trump, a bull in the China shop

Donald Trump’s presidency is shaping up to be even more destabilising than it appeared on election day, writes Dan O’Brien

President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a rally
President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a rally

Dan O’Brien

'Are the United States and China destined for war?" This was the title of an essay in the highbrow US magazine The National Interest last week.

Since China's economy began one of the most spectacular expansions in world history four decades ago, scholars and diplomats have pondered the future and evolution of relations between it, as a rising superpower, and the US, the established superpower.

Last year an academic paper caused ripples in both Washington and Beijing when it concluded that there was a considerable risk of military conflict - it found that in most cases over the past 500 years, rising powers and established powers have ended up going to war as their relative positions vis a vis each other change.

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