Wednesday 22 November 2017

Brexit outcomes for Ireland range from dismal to full-blown disaster

With so many actors, issues and moving parts, predicting how the UK's departure from the EU will affect Ireland is hard - but it will be bad

British Prime Minister Theresa May Photo: AP
British Prime Minister Theresa May Photo: AP
Dan O'Brien

Dan O'Brien

Understanding Brexit and its myriad implications is beyond any one individual. With so many factors at play, accurately predicting how things will turn out two years from today, when Britain is very likely to be in its first week outside the EU, is impossible.

On the EU side the moving parts include: the different positions the remaining 27 members of the EU will take on the tens of thousands of issues involved; what sort of compromises they collectively make on those issues; and how unified they remain in the years to come as they sit across the table from the British.

Along with "the 27", the role of the European Commission and the European Parliament will also be important in the Brexit talks, although not as important as the member countries.

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