Wednesday 25 April 2018

James Downey: Yes camp looks strong but plenty of time for an upset

SOMETIMES individual winners and losers can be identified in the course of an election or referendum campaign long before the voters go to the polls. This is strikingly true of the findings of the Irish Independent-Millward Brown Lansdowne survey which we publish today.

This time, Micheal Martin has won -- for the moment anyway -- the struggle to strengthen his leadership of the Fianna Fail party. A convincing 72pc of Fianna Fail supporters assert their intention to vote Yes to the European fiscal treaty. That amounts to a firm endorsement of his leadership and a rebuff to the dissident Deputy Eamon O Cuiv.

By contrast, the Tanaiste and Labour leader, Eamon Gilmore, has suffered a definite if not a serious setback. Only 59pc of Labour supporters in this poll say they intend to vote Yes -- although the party has engaged in a vigorous campaign.

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