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James Downey: FG closing in on stunning victory as rivals fall away

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OPINION polls cannot tell us the result of the general election next week, but today's Irish Independent-Millward Brown Lansdowne survey comes close. A study of its findings, and analysis of the scenarios that could arise from them, narrow the possibilities almost to zero.

The crucial figure is the support expressed for Fine Gael. This stands at 38pc, a striking increase on the 30pc in the last Irish Independent poll published two weeks ago. A rise of such magnitude in such a short time is dramatic and buttresses all the other evidence of a swing to Fine Gael since the beginning of the election campaign.


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