Candidate success? It's all down to simple geography
With less than a week to go before polling day, there are some interesting shifts in our most recent Millward Brown opinion poll. Conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, as the campaign moved up through the gears, it offers solace for some and consternation for others.
Compared with our previous poll – conducted at the very outset of the election – we have seen momentum building behind some big-name candidates, while others are still struggling to gain traction.
Looking first at Midlands North West. There are areas of Donegal further east than areas of Kildare. So does this make this sprawling constituency in any way homogeneous? Anything but. The equivalent of adopting a colonial plumb-line approach to dividing Ireland's constituencies (outside the capital) has created serious headaches for European candidates, especially for those competing in Midlands North West. However, there are still some constants.