Tuesday 24 April 2018

Irish fear blunders of the Celtic Tiger boom will be repeated in the future

Just 6pc of Irish survey respondents wanted a Donald Trump election victory Picture: AP
Just 6pc of Irish survey respondents wanted a Donald Trump election victory Picture: AP
John Downing

John Downing

More than half of Irish people believe we will repeat the economic mistakes of the Celtic Tiger which plunged the country into recession.

A survey for Irish language magazine 'Tuairisc.ie' found that 51pc of people believe recent history will repeat itself. Only 19pc of people believe we can avoid our past mistakes.

Compared with a similar survey two years ago by 'Tuairisc.ie', we find only a small increase in optimism on this issue. In autumn 2014 59pc of people believed the grim past would be repeated - and only 18pc believed we had the capacity to avoid past errors.

The Kantar Millward Brown survey was conducted between October 8 and 20 last, and 1,000 people were surveyed in face-to-face interviews in 64 locations. The margin of error is plus or minus 3pc.

Those surveyed were asked whether they agreed or disagreed with the following proposition: "We are destined to repeat the economic mistakes made during the Celtic Tiger era."

Overall, one in five people "strongly agreed", while another one third "somewhat agreed". One in eight people said they didn't know.

But only 6pc were optimistic enough to "strongly disagree", while 13pc could see some hope of lessons learnt for the future, and they "somewhat disagreed".

Perhaps buffeted by falling prices and market uncertainty in the wake of Brexit, the farming community was fractionally more downbeat about a wiser future.

A total of 54pc of farmers agreed it was unlikely the country would escape a repeat of past economic blunders during the boom.

More affluent people in the so-called AB categories were slightly more upbeat. Some 23pc disagreed that a repeat of 'Tiger era' errors was inescapable.

People living in Munster and Connacht/Ulster were of a similarly more upbeat disposition. Again, 23pc in these regions felt the country could do better in the future.

"We are less pessimistic than before, but pessimistic all the same," Seán Tadhg Ó Gairbhí, editor of 'Tuairisc.ie', said.

The online magazine will publish other findings on Irish attitudes in the coming days.

Another Kantar Millward Brown finding for 'Tuairisc' was that 73pc of people believe the Irish language television service, TG4, is an important part of Irish life.

Before TG4 was launched in October 1996, there was considerable debate about the cost of the new service. But 20 years later, 69pc believe that the investment in the station is money well spent, with only 10pc disagreeing.

The pollsters also found the island of Ireland is 'united' about one thing at least - Donald Trump.

In their all-island poll, just 6pc of respondents in the Republic want Trump to win the White House in six days' time.

Two-thirds of people in the south back Clinton.

The Trump figure in the North is higher but still only on 11pc.

But 47pc of Northern voters want a Clinton win.

Irish Independent

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