Sunday 19 November 2017

Fiscal Treaty poll: Pressure on Yes vote as 35pc 'don't know'

Taoiseach Enda Kenny promoting the Yes campaign.
Sinn Fein's Mary Lou McDonald campaigning for a No vote

Fionnan Sheahan Political Editor

TAOISEACH Enda Kenny faces a stiff challenge to ensure a Yes vote in the fiscal treaty as a new poll shows 35pc of voters are still undecided.

Exactly a fortnight to polling day, an Irish Independent-Millward Brown Lansdowne opinion poll shows the Yes side has a commanding lead.

But more than one-in-three voters are still unsure how they will cast their vote.

The poll, conducted earlier this week, shows 37pc saying they will vote Yes, with 24pc in the No camp. But 35pc of voters say they still don't know how they will vote, while just 4pc say they won't vote.

When the don't knows are excluded, it is 60pc Yes compared with 40pc No.

The referendum is there for the taking by the Yes side, but the Government will know there is no room for complacency.

The poll results also reveal that the Yes vote is being driven by Fine Gael and Fianna Fail voters.

But Tanaiste Eamon Gilmore has a battle on his hands to convince a sizeable block of Labour supporters to back the treaty.

Labour voters lag behind Fine Gael and Fianna Fail voters in their backing of the treaty.

Fianna Fail leader Micheal Martin has seen off the rebellion of dissident TD Eamon O Cuiv calling for a No vote.

Support for the Yes side is also shown to be highest among older voters and those in the affluent and middles classes.

But after three weeks of debate on the EU fiscal treaty referendum, voters are still limited in their knowledge of what they are deciding on.

Against the backdrop of the ongoing instability in Greece and the threat to kick that country out of the euro, the poll also shows Irish voters want to stay in the eurozone.


A substantial majority, or three out of every four voters, want Ireland to remain in the single currency.

The opinion poll was conducted among a sample of 1,016 adults interviewed on a face-to-face basis in the home at 93 sampling points throughout all constituencies.

Interviewing on this poll was carried out on Monday and Tuesday.

The malign effects of the euro crisis were felt in Dublin and Madrid yesterday as Finance Minister Michael Noonan said a long-promised return to the bond markets could be scuppered by the Greek crisis.

"We hope we'll get back into the markets at the back end of 2013 but we might not because there is such uncertainty in Europe now," he said.

Spain's Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy also warned that it too could be frozen out of the markets as borrowing costs soar.

The admission that we may be unable to borrow marks an abrupt change for Mr Noonan, who has consistently argued that we will be able to return to the markets and avoid another bailout.

Irish Independent

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