Tuesday 16 October 2018

Exclusive: Fianna Fail make major gains on Fine Gael in latest poll

Enda Kenny, Joan Burton, Micheal Martin and Gerry Adams
Enda Kenny, Joan Burton, Micheal Martin and Gerry Adams
Philip Ryan

Philip Ryan

FIANNA Fail is making significant gains on Fine Gael and there is now just four points between the parties, according to latest Sunday Independent/Millward Brown opinion poll.

Micheal Martin’s party is up one point to 23pc and now within touching distance of Taoiseach Enda Kenny’s Fine Gael on 27pc with just six days to go until the country votes.

Tanaiste Joan Burton’s Labour Party remains unchanged at 6pc and looks set to lose a significant number of seats in the General Election.

The Coalition’s performance in recent polls means it is increasingly unlikely they will return to power with the same majority.

The poll show a Fine Gael/Fianna Fail government would have the strongest majority in the next parliament.

Sinn Fein’s support is down two points and Gerry Adams’ party is now on 19pc, while smaller parties and Independents are on 25pc.

Results for smaller parties are: Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit, 5pc, Social Democrats, 4pc, Green Party, 2pc and Renua, 2pc.

Undecided voters were at 13pc.

The poll was taken on Wednesday and Thursday among 1,065 registered voters certain or likely to vote at 100 sampling areas nationwide.

Uniquely, the poll was limited to registered voters who say they are either “certain” or “likely” to vote.

Other polls released earlier today recorded better news for Fine Gael.

Fine Gael, whose support had fallen to a six-month low of 26pc in the most recent poll on Tuesday, bounced back to 30pc in both the Sunday Business Post/Red C and Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes surveys.

Labour fell one point to 8pc in the Red C poll and dropped two points to just 4pc in the Behaviour & Attitudes survey - a level the party questioned.

"Having spent many many hours on the doors and talked to candidates across the country, one thing I'm certain of is that the Labour Party is on considerably more than 4 percent," Public Spending Minister Brendan Howlin said.

At a combined 38 percent, the parties would still be 11 seats short of the 80 needed to secure a majority, according to Adrian Kavanagh, a politics lecturer at National University of Ireland, Maynooth.

Both earlier polls suggested the only hope of a stable government would be an unprecedented coalition between Fine Gael and its arch rival Fianna Fail.

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