Centenary poll: Life on the Border shows how shared ties bind across any invisible line

As a journalist covering every twist and turn of Brexit, I saw how the fallout strengthened those social and economic ties, whether that was in Belcoo and Blacklion, or Strabane and Lifford.

That’s why it is not surprising from today’s poll that it has had an impact on the possibility of unity. However, the fact an overall majority in Northern Ireland believe unity is more likely is significant because it reflects a majority here voted to remain in the European Union. And having to leave the EU due to a vote dominated by English nationalism has caused some reassessment, particularly in view of the possible breakaway by Scotland. 

But there is also context. Psychologically, Northern unionists have realised they are not valued by many on the mainland, that the east-west relationship is damaged and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson cares more about Uxbridge than he does about Carrickfergus.

Many progressive and liberal civic unionists are reconsidering whether it’s time to think about Irish unity, or at least examine greater north-south links in a shared island. For them, Brexit has been a game-changer. 

By contrast, recent events over the Covid-19 vaccine rollout have seen many reconsider Brexit. The perception is the EU, and indeed the south, has fared very poorly in handling the pandemic, most notably with the vaccine. Having opened many of its shops last Friday, Northern Ireland was ready to vaccinate people aged 30, which is an incredible achievement.

In any discussion about a new Ireland, a shared island or a united Ireland, concern about the health service has been paramount. Despite its many failings of funding and waiting lists, etc., the feeling here is the “free at the point of use” NHS is highly valued and is vital in handling the pandemic and healthcare generally. 

Growing up in Enniskillen, I have always been aware of the impact of the Troubles on both sides of the political divide and while there is much work going on to bring the community together, the past is never really far away. 

The level of support for a Truth and Reconciliation Commission in this poll seems surprisingly high, even though it is noticeably lower among unionists.

Among the victims and survivors’ sector on both sides of the conflict there is an increasing acceptance the likelihood of people appearing before the courts is diminishing over time.

Republicans, loyalists and the British state have shown reluctance to accept blame. Unionists believe, for example, the IRA has a “code of silence” about past deeds, and indeed the movement often talks in general terms about justifying the conflict even in cases where there were “mistakes” or which caused particular outrage. This omertà means many in the unionist side believe the IRA will never give up the truth.

On the British state side, it seems unlikely they will ever open up files because of issues of national security or how far up the food chain knowledge of wrongdoing by state forces goes. 

The subject of amnesties has proved controversial and divides opinion. For many, drawing a line under past killings may often seem an attractive proposition. But there are problems, both practical and emotional. How do you tell a bereaved relative that not only is the file closed on the killing of their loved one but the perpetrator will walk free? Even if many know the perpetrator will never end up in court anyway. 

It is not surprising opposition to an amnesty is higher among unionists and loyalists, who believe there is a lack of will in pursuing perpetrators so the peace process will be protected. Many victims on the unionist side, like their nationalist counterparts, believe IRA killers are not being pursued to protect the peace process.  

And while peace has been embraced by communities on both sides of the Border, it should never be taken for granted.

Having become a father for the first time last year, I tend to think a lot about the type of future our son might have in this place still scarred by the Troubles. 

My wife and I can only hope, like so many parents, that one day it will not be defined by its past or its flags — but an appreciation for its people, diverse cultures and hard-fought peace whatever shape it takes.