Oscars 2018 predictions: Can Saoirse do it? Who should win and who will win in the top categories?
With the Academy Awards just a fortnight away, Chris Wasser predicts who’s going to pick up a golden statue on the biggest night of the Hollywood calendar...
The Oscars are in two weeks, and as you might have already guessed, The Shape of Water is in with a chance. Thirteen chances, to be precise (it’s in the lead, with the most nominations — Dunkirk is in second place, with eight nominations). But who are the favourites to win? Who doesn’t deserve a nomination? Which titles will emerge victorious on the night? This is how we predict it’s going to go down in some of the major categories (probably)…
An entire nation stands behind Saoirse Ronan’s wonderful turn in Lady Bird (we’ll be reviewing it next week). Margot Robbie has never been better in I, Tonya (more on that one next week, too). Frances McDormand was the best thing about Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and Meryl Streep was excellent in Steven Spielberg’s The Post. Then, of course, we have the sublime Sally Hawkins for the aforementioned The Shape of Water. That’s a hell of a group.
WHO WILL WIN: Frances McDormand
WHO SHOULD WIN: Sally Hawkins
We’re not entirely sure how Denzel Washington ended up securing a nomination for the messy Roman J Israel, Esq. Likewise, Gary Oldman’s rambunctious turn as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour is a tad too shouty for us. Elsewhere, Daniel Day-Lewis collects the obligatory nomination for Phantom Thread, going up against young Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) and the younger Timothée Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name).
WHO WILL WIN: Gary Oldman
WHO SHOULD WIN: Timothée ChalametPhantom Thread 5* movie review: 'Day-Lewis's astounding final performance a fitting end to career' Movie reviews: Den of Thieves, Journey's End, Roman J Israel Esq. Get Out hits Irish cinemas this week - here's why you need to see it Movie reviews: Call Me By Your Name, Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami, Property of the State Churchill canonisation will appeal to devout
Best Supporting Actress
The great Allison Janney plays a blinder as the world’s worst mammy in the brilliant I, Tonya. She is the one to beat in a category that also includes Mary J Blige (Mudbound), Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread), Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) and Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water).
WHO WILL WIN: Allison Janney
WHO SHOULD WIN: Allison Janney
Best Supporting Actor
Sam Rockwell and Woody Harrelson slug it out, with both of ‘em nominated for their turns in Martin McDonagh’s so-so Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
Christopher Plummer gets a well-deserved nod for a last-minute job in Ridley Scott’s All the Money in the World. And then there’s Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) and — our favourite — Willem Dafoe, who gives a career-best performance in the sorely overlooked The Florida Project.
WHO WILL WIN: Sam Rockwell
WHO SHOULD WIN: Willem DafoeAll the Money in the World review - 'stylish thriller brilliantly recreates bizarre 1970s kidnapping Movie reviews: The Florida Project, Professor Marsden and The Wonder Women, No Stone Unturned
Jordan Peele delivered one of the smartest films of the year in Get Out. Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird is every bit as delightful as you’ve heard. Paul Thomas Anderson hit the back of the net (again) with Phantom Thread. But, for us, it’s between Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) and Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk). We love them all. We’re torn. We don’t envy the voters.
WHO WILL WIN: Guillermo del Toro
WHO SHOULD WIN: Christopher Nolan
Call Me by Your Name is a masterpiece (and Armie Hammer should have received an acting nomination). Darkest Hour is a glorified TV movie. Dunkirk might be one of the best war pictures ever made. Get Out might be one of the best horrors ever made. Lady Bird is just gorgeous. Phantom Thread is exquisite. The Post is a knockout journo flick (and it should have received more nominations). The Shape of Water is beautiful. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is grand (but not nearly as good as the hype suggests).
That just about covers everything. Hey, that’s a fine selection box of films, right there...
WHO WILL WIN: The Shape of Water
WHO SHOULD WIN: DunkirkI've always been asked about image and crushes - that infuriated me, says Oscar-nominated Saoirse Ronan 'Some actors are naturals, Saoirse's almost unnatural' 'I am incredibly grateful' - Saoirse Ronan on her 'Best Actress' Oscar nomination