Tuesday 24 April 2018

Oscars 2018 predictions: Can Saoirse do it? Who should win and who will win in the top categories?

Actress Saoirse Ronan poses with the award for Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture Musical or Comedy in 'Lady Bird' in the press room during The 75th Annual Golden Globe Awards at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on January 7, 2018 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
Actress Saoirse Ronan poses with the award for Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture Musical or Comedy in 'Lady Bird' in the press room during The 75th Annual Golden Globe Awards at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on January 7, 2018 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
Saoirse Ronan (Chris Pizzello/Invision/AP)

Chris Wasser

With the Academy Awards just a fortnight away, Chris Wasser predicts who’s going to pick up a golden statue on the biggest night of the Hollywood calendar...

The Oscars are in two weeks, and as you might have already guessed, The Shape of Water is in with a chance. Thirteen chances, to be precise (it’s in the lead, with the most nominations — Dunkirk is in second place, with eight nominations). But who are the favourites to win? Who doesn’t deserve a nomination? Which titles will emerge victorious on the night? This is how we predict it’s going to go down in some of the major categories (probably)…

Best Actress

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Saoirse Ronan has received her third Oscar nomination for Lady Bird (Matt Crossick/PA)

An entire nation stands behind Saoirse Ronan’s wonderful turn in Lady Bird (we’ll be reviewing it next week). Margot Robbie has never been better in I, Tonya (more on that one next week, too). Frances McDormand was the best thing about Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and Meryl Streep was excellent in Steven Spielberg’s The Post. Then, of course, we have the sublime Sally Hawkins for the aforementioned The Shape of Water. That’s a hell of a group.

WHO WILL WIN: Frances McDormand

WHO SHOULD WIN: Sally Hawkins

Reviews:

Five star film review: The Shape of Water - 'an unexpected and irresistible delight' The Post 5* movie review: 'The discussion of free speech and the importance of rigorous reporting seems screamingly apt now' Cinema: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Actor

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Timothee Chalamet (Isabel Infantes/PA)

We’re not entirely sure how Denzel Washington ended up securing a nomination for the messy Roman J Israel, Esq. Likewise, Gary Oldman’s rambunctious turn as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour is a tad too shouty for us. Elsewhere, Daniel Day-Lewis collects the obligatory nomination for Phantom Thread, going up against young Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) and the younger Timothée Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name).

WHO WILL WIN: Gary Oldman

Best Supporting Actress

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Allison Janney attends the 24th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at The Shrine Auditorium on January 21, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. 27522_010 (Photo by Christopher Polk/Getty Images for Turner Image)

The great Allison Janney plays a blinder as the world’s worst mammy in the brilliant I, Tonya. She is the one to beat in a category that also includes Mary J Blige (Mudbound), Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread), Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) and Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water).

WHO WILL WIN: Allison Janney

WHO SHOULD WIN: Allison Janney

 

Best Supporting Actor

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Sam Rockwell and Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Sam Rockwell and Woody Harrelson slug it out, with both of ‘em nominated for their turns in Martin McDonagh’s so-so Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.

Christopher Plummer gets a well-deserved nod for a last-minute job in Ridley Scott’s All the Money in the World. And then there’s Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) and — our favourite — Willem Dafoe, who gives a career-best performance in the sorely overlooked The Florida Project.

Best Director

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Jordan Peele

Jordan Peele delivered one of the smartest films of the year in Get Out. Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird is every bit as delightful as you’ve heard. Paul Thomas Anderson hit the back of the net (again) with Phantom Thread. But, for us, it’s between Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) and Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk). We love them all. We’re torn. We don’t envy the voters.

WHO WILL WIN: Guillermo del Toro

WHO SHOULD WIN: Christopher Nolan

Dunkirk movie review: Christopher Nolan's war movie is pure cinema - an unmissable masterpiece Dunkirk movie review: Christopher Nolan’s wartime drama Dunkirk is ‘breathtaking’

 

Best Picture

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Great shakes: Timothee Chamalet and Armie Hammer in Call Me By Your Name

Call Me by Your Name is a masterpiece (and Armie Hammer should have received an acting nomination). Darkest Hour is a glorified TV movie. Dunkirk might be one of the best war pictures ever made. Get Out might be one of the best horrors ever made. Lady Bird is just gorgeous. Phantom Thread is exquisite. The Post is a knockout journo flick (and it should have received more nominations). The Shape of Water is beautiful. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is grand (but not nearly as good as the hype suggests).

That just about covers everything. Hey, that’s a fine selection box of films, right there...

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