Business World

Wednesday 23 January 2019

US stocks fall on China trade war fear

China warns of ‘counter strike’ against Trump Photo: AP
China warns of ‘counter strike’ against Trump Photo: AP

Caroline Valetkevitch

US stocks dropped about 2pc on Friday, with the Dow falling more than 570 points, as US President Donald Trump's latest tariff threat on Chinese imports fuelled increasing concern over a US trade war with China.

Stocks added to losses and hit session lows in afternoon trading after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank will likely need to keep raising interest rates to keep inflation under control and said it was too soon to know if rising trade tensions would hit the US economy.

Fears of a trade war since President Trump announced tariffs on steel and aluminium imports more than a month ago have kept investors on edge over concerns that such protectionist measures would hit global economic growth.

"It's a reaction to concerns about the administration's approach to trade. The market has vacillated between writing it off as just talk and assuming there could be a serious problem," said Rick Meckler, president of investment firm LibertyView Capital Management in Jersey City, New Jersey.

He and others said investors also appeared to be reducing risk ahead of the weekend.

"If the market is down it often tends to accelerate on Friday. Investors don't want to take the risk of coming in Monday after having something happen over the weekend," Meckler said.

Trump late Thursday threatened to slap $100bn more in tariffs on Chinese imports, while Beijing said it was fully prepared to respond with a "fierce counter strike".

US companies which are seen as more likely to be hit by trade tensions with China were among the biggest drags on the Dow, including Boeing, down 3.1pc.

The S&P 500 industrials index, down 2.7pc, had the biggest losses among sectors, though selling was broad-based.

Chipmakers, which as a group rely on China for about a quarter of their revenue, also declined. The Philadelphia semiconductor index fell 3.1pc.

The trade war worries continued to pressure stocks even as Trump administration officials sought to dampen concerns.

Trump's top economic adviser Larry Kudlow said in various interviews that he learned of the new tariffs on Thursday night, but also said there are ongoing talks on trade between the United States and China.

US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin in an interview on CNBC said he was cautiously hopeful the United States will reach an agreement with China on trade.

The S&P 500 ended just above its 200-day moving average after trading well below that key support level that is watched by technical analysts.

Powell, who was speaking in Chicago on the US economic outlook, also said the labour market appeared close to full employment. It was his first speech on the economic outlook since taking over as chairman on February 5.

Before the session started, a US Labor Department report showed non-farm payrolls increased by a smaller-than-expected 103,000 last month. While annual growth in average hourly earnings rose to 2.7pc, it stayed below the 3pc that economists estimate is needed to lift inflation toward the Federal Reserve's 2pc target.

"There was a hope that if he had a more dovish tone that might be a counterbalance to the trade headwinds out there," said Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading in Greenwich, Connecticut.

For the week, the S&P 500 was down 1.4pc, the Dow was down 0.7pc and the Nasdaq was down 2.1pc.

Facebook shares were down 1.3pc. It backed for the first time proposed legislation requiring social media sites to disclose the identities of buyers of online political campaign ads.



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