Wednesday 21 March 2018

US growth fears as sales dip three months in a row

Jason Lange

US RETAIL sales fell in June for the third straight month, the longest run of consecutive drops since 2008 when the country was mired in recession.

Sales slipped 0.5pc, with declines across a wide swath of industries from electronics and cars to building supplies, the Commerce Department said yesterday. Analysts had expected a small increase.

The report adds to a spate of soft economic data that is raising pressure on President Barack Obama ahead of his November re-election bid. Republican challenger Mitt Romney is focusing his campaign on the weak economy that has plagued Obama's presidency.

The dollar declined against the euro and the yield on 10-year US government bonds dropped to an all-time low as the data stoked worries the economy was floundering and could need more help from the Federal Reserve. US stock prices were lower.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify to lawmakers today and tomorrow on the Fed's view of the economy.

Job creation in the United States has slowed dramatically in the last few months as employers worry about a sagging global economy hurt by Europe's snowballing debt crisis. Mr Bernanke's peers at central banks in China, the euro zone and Britain have eased monetary policy this summer to prop up their economies.


The US factory sector also has shown signs of contraction due to the global slowdown, although on Monday a survey showed New York state manufacturers perked up in July. Still, new orders shrank at the state's factories.

The retail data is worrisome because it suggests consumer spending, which drives about two-thirds of the economy, is also sagging.

JP Morgan economist Michael Feroli called the retail report "ugly across the board," lowering the firm's forecast for second-quarter economic growth to 1.4pc from 1.7pc.

Separately, a poll showed that American companies are scaling back plans to hire workers, with a rising share of firms saying the European debt crisis is taking a bite out of their sales.

Forty-seven per cent of companies surveyed felt their sales have dropped due to Europe's woes. Among companies that produce goods rather than provide services, the impact was even greater.

The Commerce Department said sales of motor vehicles and parts dropped 0.6pc last month. Receipts at electronics and appliance stores declined 0.8pc.

Sales at petrol stations dropped 1.8pc, reflecting a decline in gasoline prices.

Often, relief at the pump allows consumers to spend their money elsewhere. But that didn't seem to be the case in June.

"The consumer is obviously struggling, not benefiting much from weak gasoline prices," said David Sloan, an economist at 4Cast in New York.

And petrol prices might not continue to decline. So far in July, prices for crude oil have risen.

Excluding cars, retail sales fell 0.4pc last month. A so-called core measure of retail sales, which excludes cars, petrol and building materials, dropped 0.1pc.

In a separate report, the Commerce Department said US business inventories rose in May as motor vehicle dealers restocked to meet demand, although sales at companies edged lower for the second straight month. (Reuters)

Irish Independent

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