Thursday 22 February 2018

German unemployment falls in April

Patrick Donahue and Frances Robinson

German unemployment fell at the fastest pace in more than two years in April as the economic recovery resumed after the harshest winter in 14 years.

The number of people out of work declined a seasonally adjusted 68,000 to 3.29 million, the Nuremberg-based Federal Labour Agency said today.

The drop, the biggest since January 2008, exceeded the decline of 10,000 that was the median forecast of 30 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The jobless rate fell to 7.8pc from 8pc.

Bundesbank President Axel Weber said this week that the recovery in Europe’s largest economy will gather steam this quarter, helped by exports.

The government, which has limited the unemployment increase with incentives for companies to retain workers, forecasts growth of 1.4pc this year after a 5pc contraction in 2009, the most since World War II.

“The German labour market has got through the crisis relatively well thanks to government measures including the short term working hours,” said Costa Brunner, an economist at Natixis in Frankfurt.

“In addition, public investment in infrastructure has been helping the construction sector which is very labour-intensive.”


German exports such as Volkswagen AG cars have become more competitive because of the euro’s decline against the dollar, helping the economy’s recovery.

Plant and machinery orders increased 21pc in March from a year earlier, the Frankfurt-based VDMA machine makers’ association said today.

The euro fell to a one-year low of $1.3115 yesterday in New York as the fiscal crisis in Greece spread to other euro-area nations.

The currency remained lower against the dollar after the jobless report and was down 0.1pc at $1.3205 as of 8:57am in London.

Manufacturing growth in Germany accelerated in April and business confidence jumped to a two-year high.

Henkel AG, the German maker of Persil detergent, said on April 19 it’s off to a “good start” in 2010 and confirmed full-year growth and profitability targets through 2012.

The labour agency said today that the government incentives have helped the country’s jobs market. There was an “unexpectedly strong spring recovery” in April, it also said.


Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Cabinet last week extended the job incentives program until 2012, having earlier extended it to the end of this year.

The program helped keep joblessness in check relative to soaring unemployment rates seen in countries such as France and Spain, said Deutsche Bank AG economists Stefan Schneider and Bernhard Graef.

They “buttressed the German labour market against the effects of global recession,” they wrote in an April 27 note.

According to Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development data, Germany’s jobless rate was 7.5pc in February.

The equivalent rate in France was 10.1pc and the US rate was 9.7pc.

Even so, while the German economy is showing signs of strengthening, the recovery this year will be “moderate,” the International Monetary Fund said in its World Economic Outlook on April 21.

The fund cut its forecast for German 2010 growth to 1.2pc from 1.5pc, even as it raised its global growth forecast to 4.2pc, the fastest since 2007.

The economy probably contracted in the first quarter as the cold weather restrained construction and consumer spending, the Bundesbank said on April 19.

“Government measures have helped, but then there will be some structural changes,” said Brunner at Natixis. ‘The industrial sector won’t get back to pre-crisis levels due to the rebound in world trade alone.”


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