Tuesday 21 November 2017

Cyprus crisis: ECB gives bailout ultimatum or banks face cut-off

THE European Union gave Cyprus till Monday to raise the billions of euros it needs to secure an international bailout or face a collapse of its financial system that could push it out of the euro currency zone.

In a sign it was at least preparing for the worst, the Cypriot government sought powers  to impose capital controls to stem a flood of funds leaving the island if there is no deal before banks reopen following this week's shutdown.


Lawmakers in Cyprus postponed until tomorrow a debate on emergency legislation tabled by the government to confront the island's financial crisis, saying they needed more time for consultations.

The government had submitted bills proposing the creation of a "Solidarity Fund" of state assets, the imposition of capital controls on banks and measures to address the island's stricken banks as it scrambles to clinch a bailout from the European Union.


In stark warnings earlier in the day, the European Central Bank said it would cut off liquidity to Cypriot banks and a senior EU official made clear to Reuters that the bloc was ready to see the bankrupt island banished from the euro in the belief it could then contain damage to the wider European economy.


The ECB ultimatum came as the island's leaders struggled to craft a "Plan B" to raise the €5.8-billion contribution demanded by the EU in return for a €10-billion ($13-billion) bailout from the EU and IMF; angry Cypriot lawmakers threw out a tax on deposits, calling the EU-backed proposal "bank robbery".


In a mark of strained relations and confusion, euro zone officials conceded on a Wednesday conference call that Cyprus refused to join that the situation was "in a mess".


After more talks this evening, the currency union's finance ministers urged Cyprus to table a new proposal that would, Dutch chairman Joreon Dijsselbloem said, respect "the parameters defined earlier".


As parliament convened late in the day, the government submitted a bill seeking the power to impose capital controls on banks, a type of measure unseen since before the country joined the single currency bloc five years ago.


It also proposed a "solidarity fund" that would bundle state assets, including future gas revenues, as the basis for an emergency bond issue, likened in a note by JP Morgan to "a national fire sale".


The speaker of parliament, Yiannakis Omirou, insisted a revised levy on uninsured bank deposits was not on the table.




The European Central Bank, which has kept Cyprus's banks operating with a liquidity lifeline, said the government had until Monday to get a deal in place, or funds would be cut off.


"Thereafter, Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) could only be considered if an EU/IMF programme is in place that would ensure the solvency of the concerned banks," the ECB said.


In Brussels, a senior European Union official told Reuters that an ECB withdrawal would mean Cyprus's biggest banks being wound up, wiping out the large deposits it has sought to protect, and probably forcing the country to abandon the euro.


"If the financial sector collapses, then they simply have to face a very significant devaluation, and faced with that situation, they would have no other way but to start having their own currency," the EU official said.


Bank branches have been closed all week and are not due to reopen until Tuesday, though ATMs have continued to issue cash.


Several hundred protesters, many of them bank employees, rallied outside parliament after rumours the second-largest lender, Cyprus Popular Bank, was to be wound up.


Demonstrators chanted "Hands off the bank!" and several jostled with riot police, briefly breaking through a cordon. Cyprus has so far avoided the kind of unrest seen in neighbouring Greece, the centre of the euro zone debt crisis and the origin of many of the losses undermining Cypriot banks.


Until this week, the expectation in Brussels and on financial markets had been that the election of a new Cypriot president in February would smooth the path to a bailout deal.


But although conservative President Nicos Anastasiades struck a deal last weekend in Brussels, it was unanimously rejected by parliament on Tuesday. While EU lenders, notably Germany, wanted uninsured bank depositors to help ease banks' debts, Cyprus feared for its future reputation as an offshore banking haven and planned to spread the tax also to small savers whose deposits under 100,000 were covered by state insurance.


In Moscow, Cypriot Finance Minister Michael Sarris said he was discussing possible Russian investments in banks and energy resources to reduce its debt burden, as well as an extension of an existing €2.5-billion Russian loan.


"The banks are the ultimate objective in any support we get, so it'll either be a direct support to the banks or the support that we get through other sectors will be channelled to the banks," Sarris said during a second day of talks with his Russian counterpart, Anton Siluanov.


He said Cyprus had no plans to borrow more money from Russia and add to its debt mountain. The Russian Finance Ministry had said on Monday that Nicosia sought an extra €5-billion loan.




Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem told the European Parliament in Brussels that Moscow had informed the EU it had no intention of ploughing more money into Cyprus beyond the existing loan.


"Any other options, to go further, another loan or an investment in the banks, the Russians let us know that they are not willing to do that," he said, adding that that might change.


But Dijsselbloem said new loans from Russia would in any case not solve the country's debt problem, and that a revised levy on larger bank deposits was also still a possibility.


"I'm not sure that this package is completely gone and failed, because I don't see many alternatives," he said.


Senior euro zone officials acknowledged in a confidential conference call on Wednesday that they were "in a mess" and discussed imposing capital controls to insulate the currency area from a possible collapse of the small Cypriot economy.


Cyprus itself refused to take part in the call. Several participants described its absence as troubling and reflecting the wider confusion surrounding the island's predicament.


EU officials believe at least some of the €5.8 billion they are demanding should come from the €68 billion in Cypriot banks, €38 billion of which is in large deposits of more than €100,000, mainly from Russians and other foreigners.


While the proposal to hit small savers caused outrage, the Cypriot government fears that foisting too big a burden on large depositors would wreck the offshore financial industry that accounts for much of the country's economy.


Among the other options, nationalising pension funds of semi-public companies could yield between €2 billion and 3 billion. Issuing bonds linked to future natural gas revenue is problematic because pumping any gas is years away.


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