Sunday 26 January 2020

Bernanke cites harm from long-term jobless

Ben Bernanke
Ben Bernanke

Martin Crutsinger

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated his concern yesterday that chronic long-term unemployment threatens to reduce the US's supply of skilled workers.

In a second day of congressional testimony, Mr Bernanke noted the economic recovery has been slower than normal. But he said he doubts that the Great Recession permanently reduced the economy's growth potential.

Mr Bernanke said he did worry that more than 40pc of America's unemployed -- 5.5 million people -- have been out of work for more than six months. If the problem persists, more of the long-term unemployed will lose job skills and struggle to regain them.

Mr Bernanke made his remarks to the Senate Banking Committee on the second day of his semi-annual economic report to Congress. He repeated his assessment that the pace of growth has been "uneven and modest by historical standards".

In his two days of testimony, Mr Bernanke has signalled that the Fed is in no hurry to begin raising interest rates from record lows. Some analysts say that if the economy continues to surpass expectations, the Fed will eventually have to modify its plan to keep short-term rates at super-lows until at least late 2014.

Mr Bernanke noted some economic improvements, including a drop in the unemployment rate to a three-year low of 8.3pc in January. But he also cited continuing risks.

They include Europe's debt crisis and higher gas prices, which Mr Bernanke said should be temporary but could dampen consumer spending.

Many investors have been hoping that the Federal Reserve will launch a third round of bond buying to try to further lower long-term interest rates.

Mr Bernanke did not say anything to encourage those hopes. That marked a shift from a January news conference, where he had said further bond buying remained a possibility.

The Fed's two rounds of bond purchases have expanded its balance sheet to a record $2.94trn and raised worries among some economists about inflation risks. The Fed's balance sheet is more than triple its size in August 2008. (AP)

Irish Independent

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