Sunday 20 August 2017

Trump is closing the gap, say polls

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds a campaign event at the Jacksonville Equestrian Center in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo: Reuters
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds a campaign event at the Jacksonville Equestrian Center in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo: Reuters
Melania Trump speaks at the Main Line Sports Center in Berwyn. Photo: AP
Douglas Robinson, 20, wears a patriotic suit with Donald Trump pins while waiting in line outside before Melania Trump, wife to the Republican Presidential nominee, holds an event at Main Line Sports in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. Photo: Reuters
A Donald Trump supporter holds a modified campaign bumper sticker in favor of Melania Trump, wife to the Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump, who spoke during an event at Main Line Sports in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. Photo: Reuters
Donald Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway speaks to the media after Melania Trump, wife to the Republican Presidential nominee, delivered a speech at Main Line Sports in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. Photo: Reuters
Democratic US presidential nominee Hillary Clinton greets audience members at a campaign rally at Pitt Community College in Winterville, North Carolina. Photo: Reuters
Democratic US presidential nominee Hillary Clinton speaks at a campaign rally at Pitt Community College in Winterville, North Carolina. Photo: Reuters
Democratic US presidential nominee Hillary Clinton gives a thumbs up to audience members at a campaign rally at Pitt Community College in Winterville, North Carolina. Photo: Reuters
Democratic US presidential nominee Hillary Clinton speaks at a campaign rally at Pitt Community College in Winterville, North Carolina. Photo: Reuters
President Barack Obama speaks at a rally for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton at Florida International University Arena on Thursday. Photo: AP

Sahil Kapur in New York

Five days from the US presidential election, polls released yesterday showed the race narrowing, with Democrat Hillary Clinton holding on to a slim lead over Republican Donald Trump.

A 'New York Times'/CBS poll found Clinton ahead 45pc to 42pc among likely voters, tighter than her nine-point lead in the same poll in mid-October. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.

A 'Washington Post'/ABC News tracking poll found Clinton ahead within the margin of error, 47pc to 45pc, having lost ground to Trump since last week.

The two surveys showing Clinton still holding a lead halted a seven-day slide in the S&P 500 Index and prompted a rebound for the Mexican peso, a currency that has weakened when Trump's outlook improves.

Among other new polls, Investor's Business Daily/TIPP said Trump and Clinton were tied at 44pc each, and Rasmussen found Trump ahead 45pc to 42pc.

State-by-state polling averages continue to give Clinton an edge in the race to 270 Electoral College votes. Her challenge will be to maximise turnout among the Democratic coalition that powered Barack Obama to two victories: millennials, non-white voters and unmarried women.

A Trump upset victory would likely require diminished turnout among Democrat voters and higher-than-expected turnout among Trump's key coalition, primarily white voters without a college degree.

Irish Independent

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