Treasure has hidden appeal
Published 25/06/2011 | 05:00
ALL this week in the car, my better half has been blasting the music of Neil Diamond and Mary Byrne for some reason. Funny that.
Now I'm a man who loves a good ballad and there's no better crooner than the solitary man himself, but women always do things for a reason and she's probably expecting me to 'surprise' her with tickets for tonight's big gig.
Both Neil Diamond and Mary Byrne sang 'I Who Have Nothing', but it was this gambler who was left with nothing last week when a rather large bet on Academy Blues went astray in a claimer at Redcar.
I thought he was nailed on so I decided to go all out with a significantly larger stake than normal at 4/5. All was going well when his price quickly dropped to 1/2 in-running on the machine, but he soon started back-pedalling and ran out of gas, finally finishing in third place.
Despite some other bets coming up, I lost a small fortune last weekend so if I'm going to spend a couple of ton on a night out at Lansdowne Road, I'm going to have to come up with something to replenish the wallet.
Perhaps the Aidan O'Brien-trained Treasure Beach might be able to help me out in tomorrow's Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (3.50), for which he's generally available at 7/2. It's disappointing to see Recital pulled out, but O'Brien still has a very strong chance at winning the race for the sixth time in a row, for which Carlton House heads the betting around 11/8.
It's hard to know what to make of that horse. To be sure, his odds are often shorter than they should be due to the fact that the queen is the owner, but is it really right to see the Street Cry colt ahead of Treasure Beach in the betting considering the latter beat him fair and square in the Epsom Derby?
Perhaps Treasure Beach has been flattered somewhat in that this year's Derby was not exactly a vintage renewal, and while neither horse could do enough to beat Pour Moi, there's no reason to suggest that their placings will be reversed today.
It's fair to say Treasure Beach was a surprise runner-up at 25/1, but connections will have learned a lot from that contest and a big-race victory is not outside his grasp.
It's also worth remembering that Carlton House's only top-level victory to date has been the Group Two Dante Stakes, so perhaps punters should take a 'wait and see' approach before they get too carried away.
I have this pair fairly evenly matched, so it seems the sensible option would be to take the bigger price of the two.
A price of 14/1, or thereabouts, is good each-way value for the Richard Fahey-trained High Office in the John Smith's Northumberland Plate Handicap (3.05 Newcastle).
He can handle the softer ground, he gets in nicely at the bottom of the weights, and stepping him up to the longer trips this season has proved fruitful. While he hasn't raced this far before, he has the stamina to make an impression.
2.05 Chester: Signifer
2.15 Newmarket: My Propeller
3.05 Newcastle: High Office (e/w)
3.35 Curragh: Midday
3.50 Curragh: Treasure Beach (tomorrow)