Sport Horse Racing

Tuesday 6 December 2016

Mullins team has Vast potential

Johnny Ward

Published 12/12/2010 | 05:00

W ILLIE Mullins' exceptional record with horses new to his yard renders Vast Consumption a very interesting proposition at Mallow this afternoon.

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The seven-year-old makes her debut for the champion trainer with nearly everything in her favour. She is a relatively small mare so it will help that she only has to carry ten stone and five pounds, despite the opposition not amounting to much.

Ferry Point, runner-up the last two times, looks the main danger, yet there are few in the race one could describe as unexposed. Vast Consumption, however, has not done much racing and appeals as an ideal candidate to exhibit more ability now that she is trained in Closutton.

Mullins has worked wonders with recruits from other stables. Our Monty ran three times for him and won them all in hack canters. Beroni managed three successes too, including in the lucrative Troytown Chase in effortless fashion. Dorset Square was rated 92 when he arrived at the yard and now has a mark of 129.

Two runs back, Vast Consumption was placed over today's trip on soft ground at Clonmel. Her sole success was recorded on heavy terrain and she has run in only 11 handicaps, so there is room for her to find some progress.

Moreover, lacking a recent run is of little relevance with regard to Mullins runners. Expect her to be fit enough to win today and to travel well under Paul Townend. Ferry Point should put it up to her, but it would be surprising if Vast Consumption could not improve a stone for her new trainer.

Backing newcomers to the yard without any form analysis last season would have produced a considerable profit and the daughter of Rudimentary can enhance the trend today. With the likes of Golden Silver, Golden Tempo and Bishopsfurze running this afternoon too, it should be an enjoyable meeting for Mullins.

RECOMMENDATION

Vast Consumption at Cork, 1pt win at best morning odds

BARCELONA are strong favourites to win the Champions League next year and Lionel Messi appeals at 5/2 to finish leading goalscorer in the competition for the second year running.

The little genius scored just two goals in the group stages last season, whereas he has netted five already 12 months on. He is just a couple behind the present leader Samuel Eto'o, whose credentials are not helped by Inter having finished second in their group.

Inter are out to 25/1 to win the competition, whereas Barca are 9/4 and they looked close to unstoppable in the rout of Real Madrid recently. So intricate is their passing and his movement so clever, Messi is presented with goalscoring chances on a very regular basis. He tends to finish them off too, so take the 5/2 with Coral. Most bookmakers are going 2/1 or shorter.

RECOMMENDATION

Lionel Messi to finish top scorer in Champions' League, 1pt win at 5/2 (Coral)

CHELSEA have been matched at 1.44 (about 4/9) on Betfair to win the Premier League, a typical overreaction that can occur early in a season. Prior to this weekend's matches, they had drifted out to bigger than 2/1, with Manchester United new favourites.

United are no world-beaters. Their midfield will struggle against the best in Europe yet again and they are reliant on Wayne Rooney belatedly finding some form. He will get another chance against Arsenal at Old Trafford tomorrow evening.

United are even-money with five bookmakers who, when one takes into account their profit margins, think that they are unlikely to win. You can lay them at the same odds on Betfair and that looks a wise play. The comments of Patrice Evra about the Gunners amounting to a "training centre" could easily backfire and if Arsenal are indeed as good a team as United, the home side should be something like 6/5 to win.

RECOMMENDATION

Lay Manchester United to beat Arsenal, 2pts at evens (2pt liability, Betfair)

YEAR TO DATE

Profit to €10 stake: €284.90

Still running: €90

valuebet@independent.ie

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