The New One to strike for home team
Published 15/03/2016 | 02:30
Last year, Cheltenham was all about Willie Mullins' record-breaking eight wins and it's easy to assume that it will be more of the same this week.
Indeed, it could be even better, especially as the astonishingly successful Irish trainer will have about 60 horses here to torment both the bookmakers and the English.
Day one is again potentially traumatic for the layers and lucrative for punters, so many of whom are now simply backing Mullins blind.
Annie Power's last-flight fall in the Mares' Hurdle 12 months ago saved the bookies an estimated £100m after three earlier bankers had duly obliged and this afternoon the Closutton big guns once more come out blazing from the get-go.
It's hard to imagine Mullins and his main stable rider Ruby Walsh, top jockey at nine of the last 12 Festivals, not playing a huge part in proceedings once again, but there are two things to bear in mind.
First, Mullins says that last year his team arrived in peak health and form and everything - Annie Power aside - just dropped into place. It may have looked like shelling peas, but the man himself was almost dumbstruck at times as one winner followed another.
Second, even if Mullins does run riot again, it might not necessarily be with the expected horses.
Walsh has the pick of the stable mounts most times this week, but even he, who puts them all through their paces on the gallops and is therefore in a better position than anyone to formulate a reliable pecking order, reckons he will choose the wrong one maybe three or four times this week.
Mullins' highlight last year was his one-two-three in the Champion Hurdle and perhaps his dominance of the Festival is best demonstrated by the fact that, although all three are missing this time through injury or retirement, he still has the first two in the betting, Annie Power (Walsh) and Nichols Canyon, plus an improving and perhaps underestimated outsider, Sempre Medici.
Annie Power is at a short enough price, given her interrupted preparation, while the delay in committing her to this race once Faugheen and Arctic Fire were ruled out does not suggest supreme confidence in the camp, either. She is an exceptional mare, but she has yet to prove she is up to winning at this level over two miles.
Few trainers are coming into this week in better form than Nigel Twiston-Davies, brimming with confidence after Flying Angel continued his good run in the Imperial Cup at Sandown last Saturday.
The New One (3.30), the apple of Twiston-Davies' eye, is not a new one any more after finishing an unlucky third in 2014 and running below par last year.
He was subsequently treated for a kissing spine, but he has seemed close to his best this season and that best might be good enough in a non-vintage year.
Douvan (2.10) is the Mullins banker, not just of today, but of the week.
He makes very good horses look very ordinary, prompting his handler to wonder aloud if he is of a different species, and will surely win the Arkle Trophy Chase, bar a fall.
But Nicky Henderson, who still leads Mullins as the all-time leading Festival trainer (53-41), can strike blows for the home team, first with Altior (1.30), whose form is stronger than the hyped-up Min in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle, and then with Polly Peachum (4.10), which can get the better of Vroum Vroum Mag, another Mullins hotpot, in the Mares' Hurdle. (© Independent News Service)