Friday 26 December 2014

Camborne can bounce back to take top honours at Newbury

Published 16/08/2014 | 02:30

Bronze Maquette ridden by Shane kelly wins The Bathwick Tyres St Hugh's Stakes at Newbury Racecourse. PRESS ASSOCIATION Photo. Picture date: Friday August 15, 2014. See PA story RACING Newbury. Photo credit should read: Mike Egerton/PA Wire.
Bronze Maquette ridden by Shane kelly wins The Bathwick Tyres St Hugh's Stakes at Newbury Racecourse

Red CADEAUX reignites his globetrotting schedule after a mid-season hiatus in this afternoon's Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury.

Ed Dunlop's Melbourne Cup runner-up hasn't run since being well beaten in a Japanese Group One over two miles in early May. With that in mind, it was no real surprise to see that he was an uneasy market leader last night.

Indeed, given that he is an eight-year-old that has never won on a seasonal debut or after a lay-off, he is easy enough to oppose.

Pether's Moon has been vying for favouritism. Richard Hannon's four-year-old was a decisive winner of a similar Group Three at Goodwood, and has been running consistently well.

Over the past year, he has been highly progressive, but he is a fast-ground operator that might struggle on the forecast soft going.

The two that are of interest against the field are Willing Foe and Camborne. Willing Foe is another that may not be in his element on the ground, and he hasn't run since winning here on his sole outing in May of last year.

However, that was an impressive performance in a Listed race that suggested he would be a stayer to keep on side, as well as reinforcing that he goes well fresh. As an Ebor winner on slow ground in 2012, he is an each-way option at up to 7/1.

Camborne, though, has been even more underestimated at around 12/1. Twice a valuable handicap winner on soft ground - including in the 2012 Duke Of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot off 97 - John Gosden's six-year-old son of Doyen slammed Pether's Moon by five lengths when conceding 19lbs off 108 on the second occasion at Doncaster. He then posted a career-best performance here in September.

Over 11 furlongs in soft that day, he excelled up the long straight to score at this level, and the third - 2012 Derby runner-up Main Sequence - has since won a Grade One in America.

Things haven't panned out for Camborne so far this term, but he ran better than his finishing position suggested on fast ground behind Telescope at Ascot.

William Buick's mount has been freshened up since, so he is fancied to continue Gosden's sustained run of prolific form over this longer trip. The same firm is also expected to plunder the card's other Group race.

Gregorian is their representative in the Hungerford Stakes, a seven-furlong Group Two that the selection won in style last year.

He has since continued to run well at a high level, including when an excellent third to Slade Power in the July Cup on his favoured soft ground. Prior to that, he had seen off Garswood in a Newmarket Group Three, form that reads well following the runner-up's Group One triumph in Deauville on Sunday. For some reason, Gregorian floundered in the same race. Maybe that was a sign that he is in need of a break, but every horse is entitled to an off day. Gosden surely wouldn't turn him out so soon again if he weren't satisfied that he will do himself justice.

The danger is Breton Rock, which beat the subsequent triple Pattern-class winner Custom Cut on its penultimate start at Haydock in May.

On its only outing since later that month back at the Liverpool venue, David Simcock's charge was just denied by Penitent, with Garswood back in fourth.

That would suggest that he has it within his armoury to take advantage should Gregorian not run its race.

Custom Cut and Penitent's trainer David O'Meara has two chances of claiming what would be a remarkable third success in four years in Ripon's Great St Wilfrid Handicap.

Out Do is the choice of stable jockey Daniel Tudhope, having finished third to the re-opposing Pipers Note and Another Wise Kid at this venue two weeks ago.

Out Do is now eight pounds better off with Pipers Note and four pounds better off with the runner-up.

He has generally been progressive without winning since joining O'Meara this year, and the application of a first-time visor now might also sharpen him up.

Under just 9st 1lb, he appeals as a value option at odds of as big as 12/1 in a typically open edition of this cavalry charge.

Best BET: Gregorian

fast ground behind Telescope at Ascot.

William Buick's mount has been freshened up since, so he fancied to continue Gosden's sustained run of prolific form over this longer trip. The same firm is also expected to plunder the card's other Group race.

Gregorian is their representative in the Hungerford Stakes, a seven-furlong Group Two that the selection won in style last year.

He has since continued to run well at a high level, including when an excellent third to Slade Power in the July Cup on his favoured soft ground. Prior to that, he had seen off Garswood in a Newmarket Group Three, form that reads well following the runner-up's Group One triumph in Deauville on Sunday.

For some reason, Gregorian floundered in the same race. Maybe that was a sign that he is in need of a break, but every horse is entitled to an off day. Gosden surely wouldn't turn him out so soon again if he weren't satisfied that he will do himself justice.

The danger is Breton Rock, which beat the subsequent triple Pattern-class winner Custom Cut on its penultimate start at Haydock in May.

On its only outing since later that month back at the Liverpool venue, David Simcock's charge was just

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