Bachelor is worth singling out
Published 15/08/2010 | 05:00
BACHELOR AFFAIR should prove difficult to beat in today's beginners' chase at Tramore and might be overpriced to do so.
Trained in a small yard by Gerard Mullins, the eight-year-old looks a very solid proposition and may be not be morning-line favourite, even though he arguably deserves to be so. Everything is in his favour to mount a big challenge.
Tramore is one of Ireland's low-grade tracks and some horses simply cannot handle its demands. Its undulating nature and tight bends are very difficult for bigger horses to negotiate and those held up off the pace often encounter trouble in running.
Thankfully for Bachelor Affair, there is a distinct lack of front-runners in today's line-up and the chances are Tommy Treacy will be able to dictate his own gallop. He is one of Ireland's fine horsemen who would ride plenty more winners if he were based in the UK and he is certainly a good judge of pace.
Bachelor Affair came to life around this time last year. He finished second in three hurdle races before easily beating recent Tramore scorer Wikaala in a Gowran hurdle contest off 102 last October.
He might prove better over fences, as he jumped especially well from the front at Wexford recently, only giving best in the closing stages to two useful sorts in Turf War and Norther Bay. That was the Bachir-bred's first run after a break and he should even improve on that form today.
Those against him are a dubious bunch. On Your Way is getting on in years and has run moderately of late, while Bennys Quest has fallen in half of his chase outings, returns from a break and is a limited sort in any event.
Rookery Rebel looks the selection's biggest danger, but it will be no surprise if Bachelor Affair gets first run on him and, at around 5/2, he merits morning support. He has only once in his career been sent off favourite and is often overpriced.
Bachelor Affair to win at Tramore, 1pt win at best morning odds
Tipperary are as short as 1/3 to beat Waterford this afternoon and they should win if reproducing their effort that denied Galway.
Sadly for the Déise and their followers, the championship badly needs the underdogs to lose this, as Waterford would have virtually no chance of beating Kilkenny in the final.
Today's match should be a fine advertisement for hurling and Waterford can run Tipp close if they keep it tight in the first half. Ladbrokes' price of 5/1 about there being exactly three goals seems a bit big.
Paddy Power quote 3/1 and a fair quote is likely somewhere in the middle.
Exactly three goals in Tipperary-Waterford game, 0.5pt at 5/1 (Ladbrokes)
IT has been a curious All-Ireland SFC so far. Kerry went -- in the space of one match -- from ante-post favourites to a team dismissed as being a fallen power. Galway and Mayo had abject campaigns which resulted in their managers leaving, while Monaghan completely collapsed after hinting that they had All-Ireland-winning potential.
Meath hit five goals against Dublin in the provincial championship, but that match -- as is sadly becoming the norm for provincial contests -- is now all but forgotten. How good are Dublin? They overcame a Tyrone side in the quarter-final who essentially beat themselves with their catalogue of wides; ultimately, Pat Gilroy's men were helped by a lucky if opportunist goal from a full-forward who otherwise did very little throughout the 70 minutes.
Cork boss Conor Counihan must be privately very satisfied that people continue to doubt Cork. They have clearly been trained to improve as the year goes on and should beat Dublin if they perform close to their capabilities. Lay the Dubs at just over 7/4 on Betfair.
Lay Dublin to beat Cork, 1pt at 2.8 (1.8pt liability, Betfair)
YEAR TO DATE
Profit to a €10 stake: €175.72
Still running: €75