Monday 5 December 2016

Polls can't predict who'll be in Aras

Published 24/06/2011 | 05:00

Six weeks before the 1997 presidential election, a national newspaper published a poll which showed the Labour candidate Adi Roche streaking ahead on 40pc of the vote, with Mary McAleese and Mary Banotti (the ultimate winner and runner-up) barely mustering 20pc between them. Come election day, Mrs McAleese and Ms Banotti took a total of 75pc of the vote and Ms Roche received just 7pc. Your recent poll needs to be read against this backdrop. Four months is an eternity in Irish politics, and I can confidently predict that one of the candidates which your poll placed in single digits will be the next Uachtarain na hEireann.

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barry walsh
Clontarf, Dublin 3


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