The question of a new party is one of those perennial questions that arise in political circles, especially since the demise of the Progressive Democrats. The expulsion of the abortion referendum rebels from Fine Gael, and the insistence of the party leader Enda Kenny that for them there is no way back, appeared to create favourable conditions for the formation of such a group.
Allied to the number of independents and disillusioned defectors from Labour, the stage certainly seemed set for a political realignment.
The problem is that hardly any of this growing number of independents, from the so-called left or right, appear to agree on very much. And general agreement and discipline are the first prerequisites for a successful party, followed by the hard slog of actually getting enthusiastic members involved.
Perhaps because of the Proportional Representation system, the existing government of FG and Labour and the main opposition FF are all centrist in philosophy, believing almost universally in state intervention in jobs, healthcare, welfare and the services sector.
Perhaps by default, and because she is relatively young and slightly to the right ideologically, political observers believed Lucinda Creighton would take on the mantle of a new political leader, bringing with her the outcasts from Fine Gael and some of the disenchanted remaining within.
Her decision to remain an independent and run as one in the next election seems to put an end to such thinking. It may be that we will have to fall back on the suggestion of Mary O'Rourke on the summer school circuit, later amplified by Bill O'Herlihy at Beal na mBlath, that the next major development on the Irish political landscape will come from Fine Gael and Fianna Fail finally burying their civil war differences and uniting to run the country together for the first time.