Friday 9 December 2016

So much has changed in such a short space of time - and it's all to play for

A dire Fine Gael campaign and a surprise performance by Fianna Fail's Micheal Martin has left this election difficult to call, writes Shane Coleman

Published 21/02/2016 | 02:30

TIME FOR TALKING IS OVER: The leaders’ debate is done and dusted so will Gerry Adams, Micheal Martin, Enda Kenny or Joan Burton sink or swim when the nation decides on Friday
TIME FOR TALKING IS OVER: The leaders’ debate is done and dusted so will Gerry Adams, Micheal Martin, Enda Kenny or Joan Burton sink or swim when the nation decides on Friday

Perhaps we should all heed the advice of legendary baseball sage, Casey Stengel, who famously cautioned: "Never make predictions, especially about the future."

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Calling the outcome of this General Election is almost impossible. The PR-STV electoral system makes it tricky at the best of times. But throw in a hugely fragmented electorate, and an election campaign that hasn't gone the way anybody believed it would, and General Election 2016 is in a different league altogether.

You'd probably have a better chance discovering the secrets of black holes than predicting the final seats in the likes of Dublin Bay North and Sligo-Leitrim.

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