Friday 23 June 2017

Polls spell dark day for Labour and worry for all main parties

Education Minister Jan O’Sullivan may be vulnerable if opinion polls are to believed. Photo: Steve Humphreys
Education Minister Jan O’Sullivan may be vulnerable if opinion polls are to believed. Photo: Steve Humphreys
John Downing

John Downing

'Early days - no change of plan. We keep our nerve." The reaction of one senior Fine Gael person was echoed by several others in Labour yesterday. But what if the latest in a number of opinion polls are borne out in three weeks time?

Well, there will be many high-profile losers, mainly on the Fine Gael and Labour side. But some in Fianna Fáil would also suffer. Sinn Féin would not have quite the hoped-for breakthrough while there might be anything up to 40 Independent TDs.

The latest Ipsos-MRBI poll is consistent with the trend of a few other recent polls which showed mainly that Fine Gael's recovery since last summer, is stalled around 28pc. Labour are shown on 7pc, their May 2014 local election result, despite other recent surveys putting them closer to 10pc.

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