Saturday 19 August 2017

Place your bets - Bruton as Finance Minister, Bono for 'Strictly'

Saoirse Ronan will win an Oscar for ‘Brooklyn’ later this year – according to the predictions of Ivan Yates. Photo: Kerry Brown/Fox Searchlight via AP
Saoirse Ronan will win an Oscar for ‘Brooklyn’ later this year – according to the predictions of Ivan Yates. Photo: Kerry Brown/Fox Searchlight via AP
Ivan Yates

Ivan Yates

My leap year crystal ball is predicting 12 months of unrelenting drama. However, psephology is a hazardous game. Human intuition has in-built mechanisms compelling us to trust that history will repeat itself.

In the fields of sport, and even politics, it's easy to envision a recurrence of what has gone before. New scenarios are less easy to conjure up. Yet most titleholders don't retain their champion status year on year, despite being the best.

And so to my first prediction: The General Election will be held on Friday 26 February. This date would allow for the completion of the Fine Gael and Labour conferences. The 31st Dáil will dissolve in the early days of February - the next one may not resume until after the ministers complete their arduous St Patrick's Day exodus. Enda Kenny has the option to hang on until April 8, but expect him to cut and run well before then.

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