Groupthink is as strong in Ireland as it was before the financial crisis
At the Fine Gael ard fheis last weekend, one TD declared with great enthusiasm: "It's an extraordinary time. The country is in very safe hands. Another two years and the country will be on such a trajectory we will be unstoppable."
When is the last time we heard that kind of talk? Oh yes, it was during the boom. It is very hard to believe that anyone could think like that after all that has happened. But there it is.
The truth is that we are still in a very uncertain place. In fact, the world is inherently uncertain. This is why so many predictions come unstuck.