Transfers will decide who wins presidential election
By tomorrow morning, the country is going to be blanketed with posters for the candidates as the official starting gun is fired.
There will be a record number of candidates. And the only other certainty is that the winner of the election will be decided by transfers.
That is not normal for our presidential elections -- because the result was only decided by transfers in one out of 12 previous elections. That was in 1990, when the late Brian Lenihan Senior was overtaken in the second count by Mary Robinson, who got the majority of transfers from Fine Gael's eliminated candidate Austin Currie.