Monday 16 January 2017

Girls now eight times more likely to live to 100 than 80 years ago

Andrew Porter

Published 04/08/2011 | 08:30

Photo: Thinkstock
Photo: Thinkstock

A baby girl born today is eight times more likely to live to 100 than one born 80 years ago, new figures indicate.

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The analysis also shows that 20 year-olds are three times more likely to reach 100 than their grandparents, and twice as likely as their parents.

The rapidly ageing population in the UK and Ireland suggests that by 2066 there will be more people than ever before hitting 100.

A man born in 1931 only has a 2.5 per cent chance of reaching 100, while a woman has a 5.1 per cent chance. But the rapidly changing life expectancy is reflected in the statistics for 2011. A girl born this year has a 33.7 per cent chance of reaching 100, while a boy has a 26 per cent chance of doing so.

The figures also show that a boy born in 1961 has a 10 per cent chance of reaching his centenary, while a girl born in the same year has a 16 per cent chance of living to 100.

A man born in 1991 has a 19.2 per cent of getting to 100, while a woman has a greater chance at 26.5 per cent.

Actuarial estimates of life expectancy, which guide pension calculations, are often underestimates which cause problems when people plan for their retirement.

However, the chances of reaching 100 decrease each year as you grow older, but then start getting better again from the age of 83, according to the figures released by the British government.

At 83, you have on average a 7.2 per cent chance of getting to three figures. At 85, the chances are 7.4 per cent; at 90 it is 9.3 per cent and if you survive until 99, your chance of reaching 100 is 67.6 per cent.

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