Saturday 29 November 2014

EXCLUSIVE: Poll shows SF and FG to top Euro elections in Dublin

* Poll shows former Labour MEP Nessa Childers in third place
* Fianna Fail and Labour in battle for third and final seat
* Childers is on 13pc, FF's Mary Fitzpatrick on 11pc and Labour's Emer Costello on 10pc
* Sinn Fein's Lynn Boylan poised to finish top
* Support for Fine Gael's Brian Hayes has risen significantly
* Hayes is now chasing Boylan to finish top
* Elsewhere, Sinn Fein is polling strong
* Party is set to win seats in Midlands North-West and in Ireland South

Published 17/05/2014 | 20:42

Sinn Fein Deputy Leader Mary Lou McDonald and Lynn Boylan, the Sinn Fein candidate for Dublin in the European Election. Photo: Tom Burke
Sinn Fein Deputy Leader Mary Lou McDonald and Lynn Boylan, the Sinn Fein candidate for Dublin in the European Election. Photo: Tom Burke
CONTENDER: SF candidate Lynn Boylan: Photo: Tom Burke
Mary Lou McDonald,TD,the deputy leader of Sinn Fein accompanies Lynn Boylan,the Sinn Fein candidate for Dublin in the European Election to the Dublin City Returning Officer at the Dublin City Sheriff's Office,Fownes Street,Dublin to sign her Election Nomination Papers.Pic Tom Burke 24/4/14
Taoiseach Enda Kenny, Tanaiste Eamon Gilmore, Brian Hayes and David Conway, CEO of National Sports Campus Development Authority, right, pictured at The National Sports Campus, Abbotstown, Dublin. Picture Colin Keegan, Collins Dublin.
Enda Kenny lends his support on the campaign trail to Brian Hayes in Dublin
Junior minister Brian Hayes,TD,the Fine Gael Dublin constituency candidate in the European election with one of his posters. Tom Burke
Brian Hayes TD, with tailor, Louis Copeland Karen Morgan
Fianna Fáil leader Micheál Martin with Mary Fitzpatrick and Deirdre Heney
Fianna Fail candidate for Dublin, Mary Fitzpatrick celebrates with party leader Michael Martin after lodging her nomination papers. Picture: Maxwells
Nessa Childers talks to a constituent in Kimmage. Photo: Mark Condren
Nessa Childers on the campaign trail in Kimmage as a poster for Emer Costello looms across the road
(L to R) Joan Burton TD, Emer Costello Labour MEP for Dublin and Labour Party candidate for the European elections for Dublin. Tánaiste Eamon Gilmore TD and Director of Elections, Loraine Muligan candidate for Dublin west By election at the official launch of MEP Emer Costello’s European election campaign. Photo: Collins
Nessa Childers
Nessa Childers outside the Dail. Picture: Mark Condren
Joan Burton (left) with Tanaiste Eamon Gilmore at Emer Costello’s European election launch. Picture: Gareth Chaney Collins
Labour MEP Emer Costello with Tánaiste Eamon Gilmore at the official launch of MEP Emer Costello’s European election campaign in the Pillar Room in the Rotunda Hospital, Dublin. Photo: Gareth Chaney Collins
Minister for Social Protection Joan Burton, Emer Costello, Labour MEP for Dublin, Tánaiste Eamon Gilmore TD and director of elections Lorraine Mulligan, also a candidate for Dublin West by-election at the official launch of MEP Emer Costello’s European election campaign in the Pillar Room in the Rotunda Hospital, Dublin. Photo: Gareth Chaney Collins

Sinn Fein’s Lynn Boylan is poised to take one of the first two seats in the Dublin constituency in this Friday’s European elections, a new Sunday Independent/MillwardBrown opinion poll reveals.

Ms Boylan has seen her support rise by three points to 23 per cent.

The poll, published tomorrow, also shows Fine Gael’s Brian Hayes chasing her for the title of poll-topper after his support rose significantly — by seven points to 22 per cent — since last month’s Sunday Independent/Millward Brown poll.

Independent MEP Nessa Childers — who won a seat for Labour in the last European election but quit the party after falling out with the leadership — is marginally ahead in the battle for the third seat after her support, excluding don’t knows, dropped six points to 13 per cent.

She is followed by Fianna Fail’s Mary Fitzpatrick (11 per cent) and Labour’s Emer Costello (10 per cent).

The battle for the final seat in the capital is vital for both Labour and Fianna Fail and will play a role in determining the leadership fates of Tánaiste Eamon Gilmore and opposition leader Micheal Martin.

Graphic.jpg 

Europe 2014 Dublin constituency - Share of 1st Preference Vote: 13th-14th May 2014

The poll findings confirm deep resentment across the country over the Coalition’s latest crippling charge.

Both Fine Gael and Labour are facing a massive backlash at the ballot box on Friday’s trio of local, European and by-elections.

Aside from Dublin, Sinn Fein is also set to win seats in Ireland Midlands-North-West, where support for poll-topper Matt Carthy has jumped by two points to 19 per cent, and in Ireland South, where Liadh Ni Riada on 16 per cent lies in second place.

Socialist Party MEP Paul Murphy has seen his support rise from four to seven per cent. Ahead of the local elections, the party changed its official name to ‘Stop the Water Tax — Party’ and this title will appear on the ballot paper beside the candidates names.  

People Before Profit candidate Brid Smith has risen one point to six per cent.

Tom Darcy of Direct Democracy Ireland remains stubbornly at 1 per cent, while three candidates Independent Jim Tallon, Raymond Whitehead also of Direct Democracy and Damon Wise of Fis Nua failed to register a point.

Full details of the Dublin constituency poll plus further findings are contained in tomorrow’s Sunday Independent and her on Independent.ie.

Irish Independent

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