Friday 30 September 2016

Coalition lacks support to retain power, according to new poll

Published 23/09/2015 | 23:15

Taoiseach Enda Kenny with Anna May McHugh arriving to the 2015 National Ploughing Championships Credit: Mark Condren
Taoiseach Enda Kenny with Anna May McHugh arriving to the 2015 National Ploughing Championships Credit: Mark Condren

The Government lacks enough support to comfortably retain power, according to the latest opinion polls.

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It appears Fine Gael and the Labour Party will need to gain a significantly bigger share of votes if they hope to be re-elected as new figures show the coalition partners lack enough support to claim an overall majority.

The latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll shows that while support for Fine Gael has remained steady since May, and the Labour Party has enjoyed a marginal increase, both parties need to gain significant extra support to have a realistic chance of retaining office for a second term.

The poll shows that support for Fine Gael remains unchanged on 28 pc, with the Labour Party up one to eight pc.

The increase in Labour support is understood to represents a move in the right direction for the party after a series of poor polls.

Satisfaction with the Government is at 30 per cent and Taoiseach Enda Kenny’s rating has remained steady at 31 per cent – the highest rating of any party leader.

Sinn Fein president Gerry Adams speaks to the media on the plinth of Leinster House in Dublin
Sinn Fein president Gerry Adams speaks to the media on the plinth of Leinster House in Dublin

Nonetheless, the poll contains good news for Fianna Fáil as support for the party vote has held steady and it is now ahead of Sinn Féin.

Support for Fianna Fáil is unchanged on 20 pc, with Independents and smaller parties up one point to 25pc.

It seems the recent IRA controversy has damaged Sinn Féin as its support has fallen back, and is down three points to 19 pc.

The poll was conducted this week amongst a representative sample of over 1,200 voters earlier this week aged 18 and over, in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all constituencies.

Voters who said they intended to vote for Independents/Others were then given a range of options to choose from.

A breakdown of this support shows the Independent Alliance led by Shane Ross is on three pc as is the left-wing People Before Profit/Anti Austerity Alliance.

Renua is on two pc, the Social Democrats on one pc, and other groupings are on one pc.

Independents who are not in any group attract the support of five pc, while the Green Party is polling at one pc.

The core vote for the parties – before undecided were excluded – compared with the last poll was:

Fine Gael, 21 per cent (down one point);

Labour, 7 per cent (up one);

Fianna Fáil, 16 per cent (up one);

Sinn Féin, 15 per cent (down two);

Independents/Others, 19 per cent (no change);

 and undecided voters, 22 per cent (up one point).

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